Competitions
Premier League8 matches
Your pick for the title. You can change it until it's decided.
The community's pick178 voters
Manchester City60 %
Arsenal16 %
Brighton & Hove Albion12 %
Manchester United5 %
Brentford5 %2026-27 English Premier League
Title: chances of winning the competition, from 10,000 simulations of the rest of the season with the model's probabilities (computed on November 13).
Proj.: average final position across the model's simulations. Comm.: share of community votes for the title.
Right now
Arsenal
Leading · 27 pts from 10 matches
Model
Arsenal
47% chance of the title
Community
Manchester City
60% of votes · 178 voters
| Rank | Team | P | GD | Pts | Proj. | Title | Comm. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Arsenal | 10 | +10 | 27 | 1 | 47 % | 16 % |
| 2 | Brighton | 10 | +19 | 22 | 3 | 21 % | 12 % |
| 3 | Man City | 10 | +8 | 21 | 2 | 22 % | 60 % |
| 4 |  Liverpool | 10 | +4 | 18 | 4 | 4 % | 3 % |
| 5 |  Chelsea | 10 | +3 | 16 | 6 | 1 % | 0 % |
| 6 |  Everton | 10 | +2 | 16 | 10 | 0 % | 1 % |
| 7 |  Bournemouth | 10 | +2 | 15 | 5 | 3 % | 0 % |
| 8 | Brentford | 10 | +5 | 14 | 9 | 0 % | 5 % |
| 9 |  Leeds | 10 | +2 | 14 | 8 | 0 % | 0 % |
| 10 |  Aston Villa | 10 | -3 | 13 | 7 | 1 % | 0 % |
| 11 |  Spurs | 10 | -1 | 12 | 11 | 0 % | 0 % |
| 12 |  Newcastle | 10 | -3 | 12 | 14 | 0 % | 0 % |
| 13 |  Hull | 10 | 0 | 11 | 20 | 0 % | 0 % |
| 14 |  Ipswich | 10 | -5 | 11 | 17 | 0 % | 0 % |
| 15 |  Fulham | 10 | -2 | 10 | 15 | 0 % | 0 % |
| 16 |  Nottm Forest | 10 | -4 | 9 | 13 | 0 % | 0 % |
| 17 |  Coventry | 10 | -9 | 9 | 19 | 0 % | 0 % |
| 18 | Man Utd | 10 | -5 | 8 | 12 | 0 % | 5 % |
| 19 |  Sunderland | 10 | -9 | 8 | 16 | 0 % | 0 % |
| 20 |  C Palace | 10 | -14 | 7 | 18 | 0 % | 0 % |
Right now
Declan Rice
Arsenal · 5 assists
Model
Declan Rice
Arsenal · 23% chance · 12.1 assists projected
Community
Bruno Fernandes
Manchester United · 27% of votes · 112 voters
2026-27 English Premier League
| Rank | Player | MP | Assists | Proj. | Model | Comm. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Declan RiceArsenal | 10 | 5 | 12.1 | 23 % | 4 % |
| 2 |  EvanilsonAFC Bournemouth | 10 | 4 | 8.5 | 4 % | 2 % |
| 2 |  John McGinnAston Villa |
Proj. and Model: expected assists at the end of the season and chance of finishing with the most, from 10,000 simulations of the remaining matches using the model's probabilities and each player's share of his team's goals (computed on November 13).
Comm.: share of community votes for most assists.
| 10 |
| 4 |
| 9.8 | 8 % |
| 5 % |
| 2 |  Pascal GrossBrighton & Hove Albion | 10 | 4 | 9.8 | 8 % | 5 % |
| 5 | Ben WhiteArsenal | 7 | 3 | 6.8 | 1 % | 0 % |
| 5 | Johan ManzambiAston Villa | 7 | 3 | 7 | 2 % | 0 % |
| 5 | Maxim De CuyperBrighton & Hove Albion | 10 | 3 | 7.1 | 2 % | 1 % |
| 5 |  Cole PalmerChelsea | 10 | 3 | 6.1 | 1 % | 0 % |
| 5 | João PedroChelsea | 6 | 3 | 6.6 | 1 % | 6 % |
| 5 |  Daichi KamadaCrystal Palace | 10 | 3 | 5.5 | 0 % | 0 % |
| 5 |  Florian WirtzLiverpool | 10 | 3 | 7.7 | 3 % | 0 % |
| 5 | Cody GakpoLiverpool | 8 | 3 | 8 | 3 % | 6 % |
| 5 | Bradley BarcolaLiverpool | 8 | 3 | 7.7 | 3 % | 0 % |
| 5 |  Josko GvardiolManchester City | 10 | 3 | 7.4 | 2 % | 0 % |
| 5 | Antoine SemenyoManchester City | 7 | 3 | 7.1 | 2 % | 11 % |
| 5 |  Morgan Gibbs-WhiteNottingham Forest | 9 | 3 | 7.6 | 2 % | 1 % |
| 5 |  Mohammed KudusTottenham Hotspur | 9 | 3 | 8.7 | 5 % | 0 % |
| 18 | Justin KluivertAFC Bournemouth | 8 | 2 | 4.5 | 0 % | 0 % |
| 18 | Riccardo CalafioriArsenal | 10 | 2 | 5.1 | 0 % | 0 % |
| 18 |  Igor ThiagoBrentford | 10 | 2 | 4.2 | 0 % | 0 % |
| 18 | Phil FodenManchester City | 8 | 2 | 5.8 | 1 % | 4 % |
| 18 | Rayan CherkiManchester City | 9 | 2 | 8.5 | 6 % | 27 % |
| 18 | Iliman NdiayeManchester City | 8 | 2 | 5.3 | 1 % | 0 % |
| 18 |  Bruno FernandesManchester United | 9 | 2 | 10.8 | 16 % | 27 % |
| 41 | Boubacar KamaraAston Villa | 10 | 1 | 4.6 | 0 % | 1 % |
| 41 | Dominik SzoboszlaiLiverpool | 8 | 1 | 4.9 | 1 % | 0 % |
| 41 |  Enzo Le FéeSunderland | 10 | 1 | 4.5 | 0 % | 1 % |
| — | Martin ØdegaardArsenal | 10 | 0 | 3.7 | 0 % | 1 % |
Your pick for most assists. You can change it until it's decided.
The community's pick112 voters
Bruno Fernandes27 %Rayan Cherki27 %Antoine Semenyo11 %Cody Gakpo6 %João Pedro6 %Right now
Erling Haaland
Manchester City · 9 goals
Model
Erling Haaland
Manchester City · 80% chance · 26.8 goals projected
Community
Erling Haaland
Manchester City · 74% of votes · 150 voters
2026-27 English Premier League
| Rank | Player | MP | Goals | Proj. | Model | Comm. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Erling HaalandManchester City | 10 | 9 | 26.8 | 80 % | 74 % |
| 2 | Alexander IsakLiverpool | 9 | 7 | 17.7 | 7 % | 3 % |
| 3 | Nicolas Jackson |
Proj. and Model: expected goals at the end of the season and chance of finishing top scorer, from 10,000 simulations of the remaining matches using the model's probabilities and each player's share of his team's goals (computed on November 13).
Comm.: share of community votes for top scorer.
| 9 |
| 6 |
| 16.1 | 4 % |
| 0 % |
| 3 |  Thierno BarryEverton | 10 | 6 | 15.3 | 3 % | 1 % |
| 5 | Marcus TavernierAFC Bournemouth | 10 | 5 | 12.9 | 1 % | 0 % |
| 5 | EvanilsonAFC Bournemouth | 10 | 5 | 13.4 | 1 % | 0 % |
| 5 | Morgan RogersChelsea | 10 | 5 | 12.1 | 0 % | 0 % |
| 5 | João PedroChelsea | 6 | 5 | 12.3 | 1 % | 3 % |
| 5 | Rayan CherkiManchester City | 9 | 5 | 11.5 | 0 % | 0 % |
| 10 | Pascal GrossBrighton & Hove Albion | 10 | 4 | 8.9 | 0 % | 0 % |
| 10 | Bruno FernandesManchester United | 9 | 4 | 10.8 | 0 % | 5 % |
| 10 | Bryan MbeumoManchester United | 10 | 4 | 12.4 | 1 % | 1 % |
| 13 | Martin ØdegaardArsenal | 10 | 3 | 7.3 | 0 % | 0 % |
| 13 | Kai HavertzArsenal | 10 | 3 | 9.5 | 0 % | 0 % |
| 13 | Bukayo SakaArsenal | 7 | 3 | 8.9 | 0 % | 4 % |
| 13 | Kevin SchadeBrentford | 10 | 3 | 8 | 0 % | 0 % |
| 13 | Yasin AyariBrighton & Hove Albion | 9 | 3 | 7.8 | 0 % | 0 % |
| 13 | Jack HinshelwoodBrighton & Hove Albion | 5 | 3 | 6.7 | 0 % | 0 % |
| 13 | Charalambos KostoulasBrighton & Hove Albion | 10 | 3 | 9 | 0 % | 0 % |
| 13 | Cole PalmerChelsea | 10 | 3 | 9.7 | 0 % | 1 % |
| 13 |  Dominic Calvert-LewinLeeds United | 10 | 3 | 10.9 | 0 % | 1 % |
| 13 | Brian BrobbeySunderland | 8 | 3 | 8.4 | 0 % | 1 % |
| 29 | Antoine SemenyoManchester City | 7 | 2 | 8.2 | 0 % | 5 % |
| 57 |  Gonzalo GarcíaFulham | 10 | 1 | 7.1 | 0 % | 1 % |
Your pick for top scorer. You can change it until it's decided.
The community's pick150 voters
Erling Haaland74 %Antoine Semenyo5 %Bruno Fernandes5 %Bukayo Saka4 %Alexander Isak3 %
