Competitions
Premier League1 match
Your pick for the title. You can change it until it's decided.
The community's pickno voters
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2026-27 English Premier League
Title: chances of winning the competition, from 10,000 simulations of the rest of the season with the model's probabilities (computed on September 25).
Right now
Manchester City
Leading · 15 pts from 5 matches
Model
Manchester City
56% chance of the title
Community
No votes yet.
| Rank | Team | P | GD | Pts | Proj. | Title |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Man City | 5 | +8 | 15 | 1 | 56 % |
| 2 |  Arsenal | 5 | +4 | 12 | 2 | 19 % |
| 3 |  Brighton | 5 | +11 | 10 | 3 | 14 % |
| 4 |  Brentford | 5 | +6 | 9 | 6 | 2 % |
| 5 |  Leeds | 5 | +4 | 9 | 7 | 1 % |
| 6 |  Liverpool | 5 | +3 | 9 | 4 | 4 % |
| 7 |  Everton | 5 | +3 | 9 | 11 | 1 % |
| 8 |  Hull | 5 | +2 | 8 | 19 | 0 % |
| 9 |  Newcastle | 5 | 0 | 8 | 12 | 0 % |
| 10 |  Chelsea | 5 | -2 | 7 | 8 | 1 % |
| 11 |  Ipswich | 5 | -4 | 6 | 18 | 0 % |
| 12 |  Man United | 5 | 0 | 5 | 5 | 2 % |
| 13 |  Nottm Forest | 5 | -1 | 5 | 13 | 0 % |
| 14 |  Sunderland | 5 | -4 | 4 | 14 | 0 % |
| 15 |  C Palace | 5 | -5 | 4 | 16 | 0 % |
| 16 |  Aston Villa | 5 | -5 | 4 | 10 | 1 % |
| 17 |  Bournemouth | 5 | -2 | 3 | 9 | 1 % |
| 18 |  Coventry | 5 | -9 | 3 | 20 | 0 % |
| 19 |  Fulham | 5 | -3 | 2 | 15 | 0 % |
| 20 |  Spurs | 5 | -6 | 2 | 17 | 0 % |
Right now
Erling Haaland
Manchester City · 5 goals
Model
Erling Haaland
Manchester City · 74% chance · 25.6 goals projected
Community
No votes yet.
2026-27 English Premier League
Proj. and Model: expected goals at the end of the season and chance of finishing top scorer, from 10,000 simulations of the remaining matches using the model's probabilities and each player's share of his team's goals (computed on September 25).
| Rank | Player | MP | Goals | Proj. | Model |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Erling HaalandManchester City | 5 | 5 | 25.6 | 74 % |
| 2 |  Alexander IsakLiverpool | 5 | 4 | 14.1 | 4 % |
| 3 |  Marcus TavernierAFC Bournemouth | 5 | 3 | 10.6 | 1 % |
| 3 |  Bukayo SakaArsenal | 5 | 3 | 12.7 | 2 % |
| 3 |  Kevin SchadeBrentford | 5 | 3 | 9.9 | 0 % |
| 3 |  Pascal GrossBrighton & Hove Albion | 5 | 3 | 8.8 | 0 % |
| 3 |  Morgan RogersChelsea | 5 | 3 | 10.9 | 1 % |
| 3 | João PedroChelsea | 4 | 3 | 12.6 | 2 % |
| 3 | Rayan CherkiManchester City | 5 | 3 | 9.7 | 1 % |
| 3 |  Bruno FernandesManchester United | 5 | 3 | 11.6 | 1 % |
| 3 |  Brian BrobbeySunderland | 5 | 3 | 11.4 | 1 % |
| 12 | Martin ØdegaardArsenal | 5 | 2 | 6.2 | 0 % |
| 12 | Kai HavertzArsenal | 5 | 2 | 9.9 | 1 % |
| 12 | Vitaly JaneltBrentford | 5 | 2 | 5.1 | 0 % |
| 12 | Jack HinshelwoodBrighton & Hove Albion | 1 | 2 | 5.3 | 0 % |
| 12 | Malick YalcouyéBrighton & Hove Albion | 5 | 2 | 7.3 | 0 % |
| 12 | Charalambos KostoulasBrighton & Hove Albion | 5 | 2 | 8.9 | 0 % |
| 12 | Cole PalmerChelsea | 5 | 2 | 10.2 | 1 % |
| 12 |  Tyrick MitchellCrystal Palace | 5 | 2 | — | — |
| 12 |  Thierno BarryEverton | 5 | 2 | 10.6 | 1 % |
| 12 |  Dominic Calvert-LewinLeeds United | 5 | 2 | 11.2 | 1 % |
| 12 | Antoine SemenyoManchester City | 5 | 2 | 13.3 | 4 % |
| 12 | Bryan MbeumoManchester United | 5 | 2 | 11.4 | 1 % |
| 31 | Igor ThiagoBrentford | 5 | 1 | 11.5 | 1 % |
| 31 |  Gonzalo GarcíaFulham | 5 | 1 | 10 | 1 % |
| 31 |  Morgan Gibbs-WhiteNottingham Forest | 5 | 1 | 9.9 | 1 % |
Your pick for top scorer. You can change it until it's decided.
The community's pickno voters
No votes yet: be the first.
Right now
Evanilson and 5 others
3 assists
Model
Bruno Fernandes
Manchester United · 27% chance · 13.2 assists projected
Community
No votes yet.
2026-27 English Premier League
Proj. and Model: expected assists at the end of the season and chance of finishing with the most, from 10,000 simulations of the remaining matches using the model's probabilities and each player's share of his team's goals (computed on September 25).
| Rank | Player | MP | Assists | Proj. | Model |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | EvanilsonAFC Bournemouth | 5 | 3 | 7.4 | 2 % |
| 1 | Pascal GrossBrighton & Hove Albion | 5 | 3 | 10.1 | 8 % |
| 1 | João PedroChelsea | 4 | 3 | 8.6 | 3 % |
| 1 | Daichi KamadaCrystal Palace | 5 | 3 | 6.4 | 1 % |
| 1 | Cody GakpoLiverpool | 5 | 3 | 9.8 | 6 % |
| 1 | Antoine SemenyoManchester City | 5 | 3 | 9.6 | 7 % |
| 7 | Riccardo CalafioriArsenal | 5 | 2 | 6.1 | 1 % |
| 7 | Declan RiceArsenal | 5 | 2 | 7.6 | 2 % |
| 7 |  John McGinnAston Villa | 5 | 2 | 7.6 | 2 % |
| 7 | Maxim De CuyperBrighton & Hove Albion | 5 | 2 | 6.7 | 1 % |
| 7 | Diego GómezBrighton & Hove Albion | 5 | 2 | 5.6 | 0 % |
| 7 | Jorrel HatoChelsea | 4 | 2 | 4.4 | 0 % |
| 7 | Cole PalmerChelsea | 5 | 2 | 5.3 | 0 % |
| 7 |  Mohamed BelloumiHull City | 5 | 2 | 5.2 | 0 % |
| 7 |  Julio EncisoIpswich Town | 5 | 2 | 5.4 | 0 % |
| 7 | Josko GvardiolManchester City | 5 | 2 | 6.9 | 2 % |
| 7 | Phil FodenManchester City | 4 | 2 | 7.5 | 2 % |
| 7 | Rayan CherkiManchester City | 5 | 2 | 12.1 | 20 % |
| 7 |  Harvey BarnesNewcastle United | 5 | 2 | 4.9 | 0 % |
| 7 | Morgan Gibbs-WhiteNottingham Forest | 5 | 2 | 7.2 | 1 % |
| 21 | Boubacar KamaraAston Villa | 5 | 1 | 6 | 1 % |
| 21 | Morgan RogersChelsea | 5 | 1 | 5.5 | 1 % |
| 21 | Patrick DorguManchester United | 5 | 1 | 5 | 1 % |
| 21 | Bruno FernandesManchester United | 5 | 1 | 13.2 | 27 % |
| 21 | Enzo Le FéeSunderland | 5 | 1 | 5.9 | 1 % |
| 21 |  Mohammed KudusTottenham Hotspur | 4 | 1 | 6 | 1 % |
| — | Martin ØdegaardArsenal | 5 | 0 | 4.9 | 1 % |
| — | Kai HavertzArsenal | 5 | 0 | 4.5 | 1 % |
| — | Erling HaalandManchester City | 5 | 0 | 5.1 | 1 % |
Your pick for most assists. You can change it until it's decided.
The community's pickno voters
No votes yet: be the first.
