Brentford
3-0
Chelsea
Brentford – Chelsea
What the model says
Probabilities computed by model v2-20260920-1817, Sep 22, 06:52 AM.
- Predicted result
- 1Home win
- Confidence
- 42 %
- Most likely score
- 2-19 % chance
- Expected goals (xG)
- 1.57 – 1.35
- Over 2.5 goals
The short version
Final score: Brentford 3-0 Chelsea. The model predicted a win for Brentford (42 %): correct prediction. The most likely score among those producing that result is 2-1. It expects 1.57 goals for Brentford and 1.35 for Chelsea. Bookmakers disagree: they give that outcome 37 %. Over their last five matches, Brentford took 9 points and Chelsea 10 points. In recent meetings: 0 wins for Brentford, 3 draws, 2 wins for Chelsea. Over 2.5 goals: 56 %. Both teams to score: 59 %.
What the market says
Average of 2 bookmakers, margin removed.
| Predicted result | Odds | Implied probability | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1Brentford | 2.55 | 37 % | +8.3 % |
| XDraw | 3.63 | 26 % | -8.9 % |
| 2Chelsea | 2.60 | 37 % | -15.8 % |
Model probability × odds − 1. Positive: the model gives this outcome a better chance than the odds do. A gap is not betting advice.
Form and statistics
Brentford
- Last 5 matches
- At home
Chelsea
- Last 5 matches
Head-to-head
- 0 wins
- Brentford
- 3 draws
- 2 wins
- Chelsea
- Chelsea2-0Brentford
- Brentford2-2Chelsea
- Brentford0-0Chelsea
- Chelsea2-1Brentford
- Brentford2-2Chelsea
Frequently asked questions
What was the result of Brentford – Chelsea?
Final score: Brentford 3-0 Chelsea. The model predicted a win for Brentford (42 %): correct prediction.
Who will win Brentford – Chelsea?
Our model gives 1 · Brentford a 42 % probability. The three outcomes split as follows: Brentford win 42 %, draw 25 %, Chelsea win 32 %.