Seattle Sounders FC
Sporting Kansas City
Seattle Sounders FC – Sporting Kansas City
What the model says
Probabilities computed by model v2-20260920-1817, Sep 30, 07:00 AM.
- Predicted result
- 1Home win
- Confidence
- 65 %
- Most likely score
- 2-010 % chance
- Expected goals (xG)
- 2.14 – 0.99
- Over 2.5 goals
- 61 %
- Both teams to score
- 56 %
The score shown is the most likely one among those matching the predicted result, not the rounded xG: with 1.83 – 1.24 expected goals and a home win predicted, that is 1-0. 1-1, the single most frequent score overall, only appears when a draw is predicted.
The short version
The model leans towards Seattle Sounders FC at home (65 %). The most likely score among those producing that result is 2-0. It expects 2.14 goals for Seattle Sounders FC and 0.99 for Sporting Kansas City. Bookmakers say the same thing: 62 % on the same outcome. Over their last five matches, Seattle Sounders FC took 9 points and Sporting Kansas City 6 points. In recent meetings: 3 wins for Seattle Sounders FC, 1 draw, 1 win for Sporting Kansas City. Over 2.5 goals: 61 %. Both teams to score: 56 %.
What the market says
Average of one bookmaker, margin removed.
| Predicted result | Odds | Implied probability | EdgeModel edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1Seattle Sounders FC | 1.48 | 62 % | -4.4 % |
| XDraw | 4.70 | 20 % | -3.3 % |
| 2Sporting Kansas City | 5.00 | 18 % | -25.8 % |
Model probability × odds − 1. Positive: the odds pay more than the estimated risk. Only the edge on the predicted outcome counts as a value bet.
Form and statistics
Seattle Sounders FC
- Last 5 matches
- At home
Sporting Kansas City
- Last 5 matches
Head-to-head
- 3 wins
- Seattle Sounders FC
- 1 draw
- 1 win
- Sporting Kansas City
- Sporting Kansas City1-1Seattle Sounders FC
- Seattle Sounders FC5-2Sporting Kansas City
- Sporting Kansas City2-3Seattle Sounders FC
- Seattle Sounders FC2-0Sporting Kansas City
- Sporting Kansas City2-1
Frequently asked questions
Who will win Seattle Sounders FC – Sporting Kansas City?
Our model gives 1 · Seattle Sounders FC a 65 % probability. The three outcomes split as follows: Seattle Sounders FC win 65 %, draw 21 %, Sporting Kansas City win 15 %.
What is the most likely score for Seattle Sounders FC – Sporting Kansas City?
The most likely score is 2-0, at 10 %. It is the most frequent score among those that produce the result the model predicts.