Seattle Sounders FC
LAFC
Seattle Sounders FC – LAFC
What the model says
Probabilities computed by model v3-20261101-0309, Nov 6, 06:00 AM.
- Predicted result
- 1Home win
- Confidence
- 39 %
- Most likely score
- 2-19 % chance
- Expected goals (xG)
- 1.54 – 1.47
- Over 2.5 goals
- 58 %
- Both teams to score
- 61 %
The score shown is the most likely one among those matching the predicted result, not the rounded xG. 1-1, the single most frequent score overall, only appears when a draw is predicted.
The short version
The model leans towards Seattle Sounders FC at home (39 %). The most likely score among those producing that result is 2-1. It expects 1.54 goals for Seattle Sounders FC and 1.47 for LAFC. Bookmakers disagree: they give that outcome 50 %. Over their last five matches, Seattle Sounders FC took 2 points and LAFC 6 points. In recent meetings: 2 wins for Seattle Sounders FC, 0 draws, 3 wins for LAFC. Over 2.5 goals: 58 %. Both teams to score: 61 %.
What the market says
Average of one bookmaker, margin removed.
| Predicted result | Odds | Implied probability | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1Seattle Sounders FC | 1.86 | 50 % | -27.1 % |
| XDraw | 3.75 | 25 % | -2.4 % |
| 2LAFC | 3.55 | 26 % | +23.4 % |
Model probability × odds − 1. Positive: the model gives this outcome a better chance than the odds do. A gap is not betting advice.
Form and statistics
Seattle Sounders FC
- Last 5 matches
- At home
LAFC
- Last 5 matches
Head-to-head
- 2 wins
- Seattle Sounders FC
- 0 draws
- 3 wins
- LAFC
- LAFC1-0Seattle Sounders FC
- LAFC4-0Seattle Sounders FC
- Seattle Sounders FC5-2LAFC
- LAFC1-2Seattle Sounders FC
- Seattle Sounders FC0-3LAFC
Frequently asked questions
Who will win Seattle Sounders FC – LAFC?
Our model gives 1 · Seattle Sounders FC a 39 % probability. The three outcomes split as follows: Seattle Sounders FC win 39 %, draw 26 %, LAFC win 35 %.
What is the most likely score for Seattle Sounders FC – LAFC?
The most likely score is 2-1, at 9 %. It is the most frequent score among those that produce the result the model predicts.