Houston Dynamo FC
St. Louis CITY SC
Houston Dynamo FC – St. Louis CITY SC
What the model says
Probabilities computed by model v3-20261101-0309, Nov 6, 06:00 AM.
- Predicted result
- 1Home win
- Confidence
- 41 %
- Most likely score
- 2-19 % chance
- Expected goals (xG)
- 1.48 – 1.43
- Over 2.5 goals
- 56 %
- Both teams to score
- 59 %
The score shown is the most likely one among those matching the predicted result, not the rounded xG. 1-1, the single most frequent score overall, only appears when a draw is predicted.
The short version
The model leans towards Houston Dynamo FC at home (41 %). The most likely score among those producing that result is 2-1. It expects 1.48 goals for Houston Dynamo FC and 1.43 for St. Louis CITY SC. Bookmakers say the same thing: 37 % on the same outcome. Over their last five matches, Houston Dynamo FC took 6 points and St. Louis CITY SC 1 point. In recent meetings: 2 wins for Houston Dynamo FC, 1 draw, 2 wins for St. Louis CITY SC. Over 2.5 goals: 56 %. Both teams to score: 59 %.
What the market says
Average of one bookmaker, margin removed.
| Predicted result | Odds | Implied probability | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1Houston Dynamo FC | 2.50 | 37 % | +1.4 % |
| XDraw | 3.45 | 27 % | -7.9 % |
| 2St. Louis CITY SC | 2.50 | 37 % | -18.1 % |
Model probability × odds − 1. Positive: the model gives this outcome a better chance than the odds do. A gap is not betting advice.
Form and statistics
Houston Dynamo FC
- Last 5 matches
- At home
St. Louis CITY SC
- Last 5 matches
Head-to-head
- 2 wins
- Houston Dynamo FC
- 1 draw
- 2 wins
- St. Louis CITY SC
- St. Louis CITY SC2-1Houston Dynamo FC
- St. Louis CITY SC2-3Houston Dynamo FC
- Houston Dynamo FC1-0St. Louis CITY SC
- St. Louis CITY SC3-0Houston Dynamo FC
- Houston Dynamo FC0-0St. Louis CITY SC
Frequently asked questions
Who will win Houston Dynamo FC – St. Louis CITY SC?
Our model gives 1 · Houston Dynamo FC a 41 % probability. The three outcomes split as follows: Houston Dynamo FC win 41 %, draw 27 %, St. Louis CITY SC win 33 %.
What is the most likely score for Houston Dynamo FC – St. Louis CITY SC?
The most likely score is 2-1, at 9 %. It is the most frequent score among those that produce the result the model predicts.