FC Dallas
Colorado Rapids
FC Dallas – Colorado Rapids
What the model says
Probabilities computed by model v3-20261101-0309, Nov 6, 06:00 AM.
- Predicted result
- 1Home win
- Confidence
- 54 %
- Most likely score
- 2-110 % chance
- Expected goals (xG)
- 1.87 – 1.20
- Over 2.5 goals
- 59 %
- Both teams to score
- 59 %
The score shown is the most likely one among those matching the predicted result, not the rounded xG. 1-1, the single most frequent score overall, only appears when a draw is predicted.
The short version
The model leans towards FC Dallas at home (54 %). The most likely score among those producing that result is 2-1. It expects 1.87 goals for FC Dallas and 1.20 for Colorado Rapids. Bookmakers disagree: they give that outcome 45 %. Over their last five matches, FC Dallas took 8 points and Colorado Rapids 6 points. In recent meetings: 2 wins for FC Dallas, 1 draw, 2 wins for Colorado Rapids. Over 2.5 goals: 59 %. Both teams to score: 59 %.
What the market says
Average of one bookmaker, margin removed.
| Predicted result | Odds | Implied probability | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1FC Dallas | 2.05 | 45 % | +9.9 % |
| XDraw | 3.70 | 25 % | -12.4 % |
| 2Colorado Rapids | 3.10 | 30 % | -29.5 % |
Model probability × odds − 1. Positive: the model gives this outcome a better chance than the odds do. A gap is not betting advice.
Form and statistics
FC Dallas
- Last 5 matches
- At home
Colorado Rapids
- Last 5 matches
Head-to-head
- 2 wins
- FC Dallas
- 1 draw
- 2 wins
- Colorado Rapids
- Colorado Rapids1-2FC Dallas
- FC Dallas3-1Colorado Rapids
- Colorado Rapids3-3FC Dallas
- FC Dallas2-3Colorado Rapids
- Colorado Rapids2-1FC Dallas
Frequently asked questions
Who will win FC Dallas – Colorado Rapids?
Our model gives 1 · FC Dallas a 54 % probability. The three outcomes split as follows: FC Dallas win 54 %, draw 24 %, Colorado Rapids win 23 %.
What is the most likely score for FC Dallas – Colorado Rapids?
The most likely score is 2-1, at 10 %. It is the most frequent score among those that produce the result the model predicts.