Getafe
Brighton & Hove Albion
Getafe – Brighton & Hove Albion
What the model says
Probabilities computed by model v3-20261101-0309, Nov 4, 03:05 AM.
- Predicted result
- 2Away win
- Confidence
- 67 %
- Most likely score
- 0-211 % chance
- Expected goals (xG)
- 0.91 – 2.08
- Over 2.5 goals
- 57 %
- Both teams to score
- 53 %
The score shown is the most likely one among those matching the predicted result, not the rounded xG. 1-1, the single most frequent score overall, only appears when a draw is predicted.
The short version
The model leans towards Brighton & Hove Albion away from home (67 %). The most likely score among those producing that result is 0-2. It expects 0.91 goals for Getafe and 2.08 for Brighton & Hove Albion. Bookmakers disagree: they give that outcome 61 %. Over their last five matches, Getafe took 7 points and Brighton & Hove Albion 8 points. Over 2.5 goals: 57 %. Both teams to score: 53 %.
What the market says
Average of one bookmaker, margin removed.
| Predicted result | Odds | Implied probability | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1Getafe | 6.00 | 16 % | -19.8 % |
| XDraw | 4.10 | 23 % | -20.6 % |
| 2Brighton & Hove Albion | 1.57 | 61 % | +5.6 % |
Model probability × odds − 1. Positive: the model gives this outcome a better chance than the odds do. A gap is not betting advice.
Form and statistics
Getafe
- Last 5 matches
- At home
Brighton & Hove Albion
- Last 5 matches
Head-to-head
No recent meeting between these two teams.
Frequently asked questions
Who will win Getafe – Brighton & Hove Albion?
Our model gives 2 · Brighton & Hove Albion a 67 % probability. The three outcomes split as follows: Getafe win 13 %, draw 19 %, Brighton & Hove Albion win 67 %.
What is the most likely score for Getafe – Brighton & Hove Albion?
The most likely score is 0-2, at 11 %. It is the most frequent score among those that produce the result the model predicts.