AS Monaco
FC Nordsjælland
AS Monaco – FC Nordsjælland
What the model says
Probabilities computed by model v3-20261101-0309, Nov 4, 03:05 AM.
- Predicted result
- 1Home win
- Confidence
- 68 %
- Most likely score
- 2-010 % chance
- Expected goals (xG)
- 2.27 – 0.95
- Over 2.5 goals
- 63 %
- Both teams to score
- 55 %
The score shown is the most likely one among those matching the predicted result, not the rounded xG. 1-1, the single most frequent score overall, only appears when a draw is predicted.
The short version
The model leans towards AS Monaco at home (68 %). The most likely score among those producing that result is 2-0. It expects 2.27 goals for AS Monaco and 0.95 for FC Nordsjælland. Bookmakers say the same thing: 65 % on the same outcome. Over their last five matches, AS Monaco took 7 points and FC Nordsjælland 4 points. Over 2.5 goals: 63 %. Both teams to score: 55 %.
What the market says
Average of one bookmaker, margin removed.
| Predicted result | Odds | Implied probability | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1AS Monaco | 1.46 | 65 % | -0.1 % |
| XDraw | 5.00 | 19 % | -13.3 % |
| 2FC Nordsjælland | 6.00 | 16 % | -14.6 % |
Model probability × odds − 1. Positive: the model gives this outcome a better chance than the odds do. A gap is not betting advice.
Form and statistics
AS Monaco
- Last 5 matches
- At home
FC Nordsjælland
- Last 5 matches
Head-to-head
No recent meeting between these two teams.
Frequently asked questions
Who will win AS Monaco – FC Nordsjælland?
Our model gives 1 · AS Monaco a 68 % probability. The three outcomes split as follows: AS Monaco win 68 %, draw 17 %, FC Nordsjælland win 14 %.
What is the most likely score for AS Monaco – FC Nordsjælland?
The most likely score is 2-0, at 10 %. It is the most frequent score among those that produce the result the model predicts.