New England Revolution
Inter Miami CF
New England Revolution – Inter Miami CF
What the model says
Probabilities computed by model v3-20261018-0954, Oct 31, 06:00 AM.
- Predicted result
- 2Away win
- Confidence
- 41 %
- Most likely score
- 1-29 % chance
- Expected goals (xG)
- 1.50 – 1.76
- Over 2.5 goals
- 63 %
- Both teams to score
- 65 %
The score shown is the most likely one among those matching the predicted result, not the rounded xG: with 1.83 – 1.24 expected goals and a home win predicted, that is 1-0. 1-1, the single most frequent score overall, only appears when a draw is predicted.
The short version
The model leans towards Inter Miami CF away from home (41 %). The most likely score among those producing that result is 1-2. It expects 1.50 goals for New England Revolution and 1.76 for Inter Miami CF. Bookmakers say the same thing: 41 % on the same outcome. Over their last five matches, New England Revolution took 12 points and Inter Miami CF 10 points. In recent meetings: 0 wins for New England Revolution, 1 draw, 4 wins for Inter Miami CF. Over 2.5 goals: 63 %. Both teams to score: 65 %.
What the market says
Average of one bookmaker, margin removed.
| Predicted result | Odds | Implied probability | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1New England Revolution | 2.65 | 35 % | -12.7 % |
| XDraw | 3.90 | 24 % | +1.6 % |
| 2Inter Miami CF | 2.25 | 41 % | -7.8 % |
Model probability × odds − 1. Positive: the model gives this outcome a better chance than the odds do. A gap is not betting advice.
Form and statistics
New England Revolution
- Last 5 matches
- At home
Inter Miami CF
- Last 5 matches
Head-to-head
- 0 wins
- New England Revolution
- 1 draw
- 4 wins
- Inter Miami CF
- Inter Miami CF1-1New England Revolution
- Inter Miami CF4-1New England Revolution
- New England Revolution1-2Inter Miami CF
- Inter Miami CF6-2New England Revolution
- New England Revolution1-4Inter Miami CF
Frequently asked questions
Who will win New England Revolution – Inter Miami CF?
Our model gives 2 · Inter Miami CF a 41 % probability. The three outcomes split as follows: New England Revolution win 33 %, draw 26 %, Inter Miami CF win 41 %.
What is the most likely score for New England Revolution – Inter Miami CF?
The most likely score is 1-2, at 9 %. It is the most frequent score among those that produce the result the model predicts.