Vancouver Whitecaps
Seattle Sounders FC
Vancouver Whitecaps – Seattle Sounders FC
What the model says
Probabilities computed by model v3-20261018-0954, Oct 31, 06:00 AM.
- Predicted result
- 1Home win
- Confidence
- 57 %
- Most likely score
- 2-110 % chance
- Expected goals (xG)
- 1.98 – 1.14
- Over 2.5 goals
- 60 %
- Both teams to score
- 59 %
The score shown is the most likely one among those matching the predicted result, not the rounded xG: with 1.83 – 1.24 expected goals and a home win predicted, that is 1-0. 1-1, the single most frequent score overall, only appears when a draw is predicted.
The short version
The model leans towards Vancouver Whitecaps at home (57 %). The most likely score among those producing that result is 2-1. It expects 1.98 goals for Vancouver Whitecaps and 1.14 for Seattle Sounders FC. Bookmakers say the same thing: 59 % on the same outcome. Over their last five matches, Vancouver Whitecaps took 8 points and Seattle Sounders FC 5 points. In recent meetings: 2 wins for Vancouver Whitecaps, 1 draw, 2 wins for Seattle Sounders FC. Over 2.5 goals: 60 %. Both teams to score: 59 %.
What the market says
Average of 2 bookmakers, margin removed.
| Predicted result | Odds | Implied probability | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1Vancouver Whitecaps | 1.58 | 59 % | -10.2 % |
| XDraw | 4.32 | 22 % | +1.4 % |
| 2Seattle Sounders FC | 4.75 | 20 % | -7.0 % |
Model probability × odds − 1. Positive: the model gives this outcome a better chance than the odds do. A gap is not betting advice.
Form and statistics
Vancouver Whitecaps
- Last 5 matches
- At home
Seattle Sounders FC
- Last 5 matches
Head-to-head
- 2 wins
- Vancouver Whitecaps
- 1 draw
- 2 wins
- Seattle Sounders FC
- Seattle Sounders FC0-2Vancouver Whitecaps
- Seattle Sounders FC2-1Vancouver Whitecaps
- Vancouver Whitecaps0-3Seattle Sounders FC
- Seattle Sounders FC2-2Vancouver Whitecaps
- Vancouver Whitecaps3-0
Frequently asked questions
Who will win Vancouver Whitecaps – Seattle Sounders FC?
Our model gives 1 · Vancouver Whitecaps a 57 % probability. The three outcomes split as follows: Vancouver Whitecaps win 57 %, draw 24 %, Seattle Sounders FC win 20 %.
What is the most likely score for Vancouver Whitecaps – Seattle Sounders FC?
The most likely score is 2-1, at 10 %. It is the most frequent score among those that produce the result the model predicts.