Colorado Rapids
Chicago Fire FC
Colorado Rapids – Chicago Fire FC
What the model says
Probabilities computed by model v3-20261018-0954, Oct 30, 06:00 AM.
- Predicted result
- 1Home win
- Confidence
- 39 %
- Most likely score
- 2-18 % chance
- Expected goals (xG)
- 1.43 – 1.41
- Over 2.5 goals
- 54 %
- Both teams to score
- 58 %
The score shown is the most likely one among those matching the predicted result, not the rounded xG: with 1.83 – 1.24 expected goals and a home win predicted, that is 1-0. 1-1, the single most frequent score overall, only appears when a draw is predicted.
The short version
The model leans towards Colorado Rapids at home (39 %). The most likely score among those producing that result is 2-1. It expects 1.43 goals for Colorado Rapids and 1.41 for Chicago Fire FC. Bookmakers say the same thing: 41 % on the same outcome. Over their last five matches, Colorado Rapids took 7 points and Chicago Fire FC 7 points. Over 2.5 goals: 54 %. Both teams to score: 58 %.
What the market says
Average of one bookmaker, margin removed.
| Predicted result | Odds | Implied probability | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1Colorado Rapids | 2.25 | 41 % | -12.9 % |
| XDraw | 3.55 | 26 % | -4.0 % |
| 2Chicago Fire FC | 2.80 | 33 % | -4.2 % |
Model probability × odds − 1. Positive: the model gives this outcome a better chance than the odds do. A gap is not betting advice.
Form and statistics
Colorado Rapids
- Last 5 matches
- At home
Chicago Fire FC
- Last 5 matches
Head-to-head
No recent meeting between these two teams.
Frequently asked questions
Who will win Colorado Rapids – Chicago Fire FC?
Our model gives 1 · Colorado Rapids a 39 % probability. The three outcomes split as follows: Colorado Rapids win 39 %, draw 27 %, Chicago Fire FC win 34 %.
What is the most likely score for Colorado Rapids – Chicago Fire FC?
The most likely score is 2-1, at 8 %. It is the most frequent score among those that produce the result the model predicts.