Sporting Kansas City
FC Dallas
Sporting Kansas City – FC Dallas
What the model says
Probabilities computed by model v3-20261018-0954, Oct 30, 06:00 AM.
- Predicted result
- 2Away win
- Confidence
- 54 %
- Most likely score
- 1-210 % chance
- Expected goals (xG)
- 1.20 – 2.02
- Over 2.5 goals
- 62 %
- Both teams to score
- 61 %
The score shown is the most likely one among those matching the predicted result, not the rounded xG: with 1.83 – 1.24 expected goals and a home win predicted, that is 1-0. 1-1, the single most frequent score overall, only appears when a draw is predicted.
The short version
The model leans towards FC Dallas away from home (54 %). The most likely score among those producing that result is 1-2. It expects 1.20 goals for Sporting Kansas City and 2.02 for FC Dallas. Bookmakers say the same thing: 53 % on the same outcome. Over their last five matches, Sporting Kansas City took 1 point and FC Dallas 7 points. In recent meetings: 1 win for Sporting Kansas City, 0 draws, 4 wins for FC Dallas. Over 2.5 goals: 62 %. Both teams to score: 61 %.
What the market says
Average of 2 bookmakers, margin removed.
| Predicted result | Odds | Implied probability | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1Sporting Kansas City | 3.75 | 25 % | -17.4 % |
| XDraw | 4.10 | 23 % | -1.1 % |
| 2FC Dallas | 1.76 | 53 % | -5.2 % |
Model probability × odds − 1. Positive: the model gives this outcome a better chance than the odds do. A gap is not betting advice.
Form and statistics
Sporting Kansas City
- Last 5 matches
- At home
FC Dallas
- Last 5 matches
Head-to-head
- 1 win
- Sporting Kansas City
- 0 draws
- 4 wins
- FC Dallas
- FC Dallas4-3Sporting Kansas City
- Sporting Kansas City2-4FC Dallas
- FC Dallas2-1Sporting Kansas City
- FC Dallas2-1Sporting Kansas City
- Sporting Kansas City3-2FC Dallas
Frequently asked questions
Who will win Sporting Kansas City – FC Dallas?
Our model gives 2 · FC Dallas a 54 % probability. The three outcomes split as follows: Sporting Kansas City win 22 %, draw 24 %, FC Dallas win 54 %.
What is the most likely score for Sporting Kansas City – FC Dallas?
The most likely score is 1-2, at 10 %. It is the most frequent score among those that produce the result the model predicts.