Red Bull New York
Inter Miami CF
Red Bull New York – Inter Miami CF
What the model says
Probabilities computed by model v3-20261018-0954, Oct 23, 07:00 AM.
- Predicted result
- 2Away win
- Confidence
- 50 %
- Most likely score
- 1-210 % chance
- Expected goals (xG)
- 1.25 – 1.90
- Over 2.5 goals
- 61 %
- Both teams to score
- 61 %
The score shown is the most likely one among those matching the predicted result, not the rounded xG: with 1.83 – 1.24 expected goals and a home win predicted, that is 1-0. 1-1, the single most frequent score overall, only appears when a draw is predicted.
The short version
The model leans towards Inter Miami CF away from home (50 %). The most likely score among those producing that result is 1-2. It expects 1.25 goals for Red Bull New York and 1.90 for Inter Miami CF. Bookmakers say the same thing: 52 % on the same outcome. Over their last five matches, Red Bull New York took 6 points and Inter Miami CF 10 points. In recent meetings: 1 win for Red Bull New York, 1 draw, 3 wins for Inter Miami CF. Over 2.5 goals: 61 %. Both teams to score: 61 %.
What the market says
Average of 2 bookmakers, margin removed.
| Predicted result | Odds | Implied probability | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1Red Bull New York | 3.55 | 26 % | -9.6 % |
| XDraw | 4.20 | 22 % | +1.2 % |
| 2Inter Miami CF | 1.79 | 52 % | -9.5 % |
Model probability × odds − 1. Positive: the model gives this outcome a better chance than the odds do. A gap is not betting advice.
Form and statistics
Red Bull New York
- Last 5 matches
- At home
Inter Miami CF
- Last 5 matches
Head-to-head
- 1 win
- Red Bull New York
- 1 draw
- 3 wins
- Inter Miami CF
- Inter Miami CF2-2Red Bull New York
- Red Bull New York1-5Inter Miami CF
- Inter Miami CF4-1Red Bull New York
- Inter Miami CF6-2Red Bull New York
- Red Bull New York4-0Inter Miami CF
Frequently asked questions
Who will win Red Bull New York – Inter Miami CF?
Our model gives 2 · Inter Miami CF a 50 % probability. The three outcomes split as follows: Red Bull New York win 25 %, draw 24 %, Inter Miami CF win 50 %.
What is the most likely score for Red Bull New York – Inter Miami CF?
The most likely score is 1-2, at 10 %. It is the most frequent score among those that produce the result the model predicts.