Red Star Belgrade
F.C. København
Red Star Belgrade – F.C. København
What the model says
Probabilities computed by model v3-20261018-0954, Oct 22, 03:05 AM.
- Predicted result
- 2Away win
- Confidence
- 45 %
- Most likely score
- 1-29 % chance
- Expected goals (xG)
- 1.22 – 1.63
- Over 2.5 goals
- 54 %
- Both teams to score
- 57 %
The score shown is the most likely one among those matching the predicted result, not the rounded xG: with 1.83 – 1.24 expected goals and a home win predicted, that is 1-0. 1-1, the single most frequent score overall, only appears when a draw is predicted.
The short version
The model leans towards F.C. København away from home (45 %). The most likely score among those producing that result is 1-2. It expects 1.22 goals for Red Star Belgrade and 1.63 for F.C. København. Bookmakers disagree: they give that outcome 31 %. Over their last five matches, Red Star Belgrade took 3 points and F.C. København 10 points. In recent meetings: 0 wins for Red Star Belgrade, 2 draws, 0 wins for F.C. København. Over 2.5 goals: 54 %. Both teams to score: 57 %.
What the market says
Average of one bookmaker, margin removed.
| Predicted result | Odds | Implied probability | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1Red Star Belgrade | 2.25 | 42 % | -35.1 % |
| XDraw | 3.65 | 26 % | -4.6 % |
| 2F.C. København | 3.05 | 31 % | +37.4 % |
Model probability × odds − 1. Positive: the model gives this outcome a better chance than the odds do. A gap is not betting advice.
Form and statistics
Red Star Belgrade
- Last 5 matches
- At home
F.C. København
- Last 5 matches
Head-to-head
- 0 wins
- Red Star Belgrade
- 2 draws
- 0 wins
- F.C. København
- F.C. København1-1Red Star Belgrade
- Red Star Belgrade1-1F.C. København
Frequently asked questions
Who will win Red Star Belgrade – F.C. København?
Our model gives 2 · F.C. København a 45 % probability. The three outcomes split as follows: Red Star Belgrade win 29 %, draw 26 %, F.C. København win 45 %.
What is the most likely score for Red Star Belgrade – F.C. København?
The most likely score is 1-2, at 9 %. It is the most frequent score among those that produce the result the model predicts.