Kauno Zalgiris
SK Brann
Kauno Zalgiris – SK Brann
What the model says
Probabilities computed by model v3-20261018-0954, Oct 22, 03:05 AM.
- Predicted result
- 2Away win
- Confidence
- 62 %
- Most likely score
- 0-212 % chance
- Expected goals (xG)
- 0.83 – 2.01
- Over 2.5 goals
- 54 %
- Both teams to score
- 49 %
The score shown is the most likely one among those matching the predicted result, not the rounded xG: with 1.83 – 1.24 expected goals and a home win predicted, that is 1-0. 1-1, the single most frequent score overall, only appears when a draw is predicted.
The short version
The model leans towards SK Brann away from home (62 %). The most likely score among those producing that result is 0-2. It expects 0.83 goals for Kauno Zalgiris and 2.01 for SK Brann. Bookmakers disagree: they give that outcome 55 %. Over their last five matches, Kauno Zalgiris took 3 points and SK Brann 6 points. Over 2.5 goals: 54 %. Both teams to score: 49 %.
What the market says
Average of one bookmaker, margin removed.
| Predicted result | Odds | Implied probability | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1Kauno Zalgiris | 4.30 | 22 % | -29.2 % |
| XDraw | 4.20 | 23 % | -10.5 % |
| 2SK Brann | 1.74 | 55 % | +8.3 % |
Model probability × odds − 1. Positive: the model gives this outcome a better chance than the odds do. A gap is not betting advice.
Form and statistics
Kauno Zalgiris
- Last 5 matches
- At home
SK Brann
- Last 5 matches
Head-to-head
No recent meeting between these two teams.
Frequently asked questions
Who will win Kauno Zalgiris – SK Brann?
Our model gives 2 · SK Brann a 62 % probability. The three outcomes split as follows: Kauno Zalgiris win 16 %, draw 21 %, SK Brann win 62 %.
What is the most likely score for Kauno Zalgiris – SK Brann?
The most likely score is 0-2, at 12 %. It is the most frequent score among those that produce the result the model predicts.