FC Cincinnati
D.C. United
FC Cincinnati – D.C. United
What the model says
Probabilities computed by model v3-20261018-0954, Oct 21, 07:01 AM.
- Predicted result
- 1Home win
- Confidence
- 62 %
- Most likely score
- 2-19 % chance
- Expected goals (xG)
- 2.41 – 1.20
- Over 2.5 goals
The short version
Final score: FC Cincinnati 2-1 D.C. United. The model predicted a win for FC Cincinnati (62 %): correct prediction. The most likely score among those producing that result is 2-1. It expects 2.41 goals for FC Cincinnati and 1.20 for D.C. United. Bookmakers disagree: they give that outcome 56 %. Over their last five matches, FC Cincinnati took 4 points and D.C. United 4 points. In recent meetings: 3 wins for FC Cincinnati, 1 draw, 1 win for D.C. United. Over 2.5 goals: 70 %. Both teams to score: 64 %.
What the market says
Average of one bookmaker, margin removed.
| Predicted result | Odds | Implied probability | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1FC Cincinnati | 1.66 | 56 % | +2.4 % |
| XDraw | 4.50 | 21 % | -6.9 % |
| 2D.C. United | 3.90 | 24 % | -31.3 % |
Model probability × odds − 1. Positive: the model gives this outcome a better chance than the odds do. A gap is not betting advice.
Form and statistics
FC Cincinnati
- Last 5 matches
- At home
D.C. United
- Last 5 matches
Head-to-head
- 3 wins
- FC Cincinnati
- 1 draw
- 1 win
- D.C. United
- FC Cincinnati1-2D.C. United
- D.C. United0-1FC Cincinnati
- D.C. United2-3FC Cincinnati
- FC Cincinnati0-0D.C. United
- D.C. United2-5FC Cincinnati
Frequently asked questions
What was the result of FC Cincinnati – D.C. United?
Final score: FC Cincinnati 2-1 D.C. United. The model predicted a win for FC Cincinnati (62 %): correct prediction.
Who will win FC Cincinnati – D.C. United?
Our model gives 1 · FC Cincinnati a 62 % probability. The three outcomes split as follows: FC Cincinnati win 62 %, draw 21 %, D.C. United win 18 %.