Sporting Kansas City
Real Salt Lake
Sporting Kansas City – Real Salt Lake
What the model says
Probabilities computed by model v2-20261001-0205, Oct 16, 07:00 AM.
- Predicted result
- 2Away win
- Confidence
- 40 %
- Most likely score
- 1-29 % chance
- Expected goals (xG)
- 1.39 – 1.63
- Over 2.5 goals
The short version
Final score: Sporting Kansas City 1-3 Real Salt Lake. The model predicted a win for Real Salt Lake (40 %): correct prediction. The most likely score among those producing that result is 1-2. It expects 1.39 goals for Sporting Kansas City and 1.63 for Real Salt Lake. Bookmakers say the same thing: 42 % on the same outcome. Over their last five matches, Sporting Kansas City took 4 points and Real Salt Lake 4 points. In recent meetings: 0 wins for Sporting Kansas City, 1 draw, 4 wins for Real Salt Lake. Over 2.5 goals: 58 %. Both teams to score: 61 %.
What the market says
Average of one bookmaker, margin removed.
| Predicted result | Odds | Implied probability | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1Sporting Kansas City | 2.75 | 34 % | -13.0 % |
| XDraw | 3.75 | 25 % | +7.1 % |
| 2Real Salt Lake | 2.20 | 42 % | -12.4 % |
Model probability × odds − 1. Positive: the model gives this outcome a better chance than the odds do. A gap is not betting advice.
Form and statistics
Sporting Kansas City
- Last 5 matches
- At home
Real Salt Lake
- Last 5 matches
Head-to-head
- 0 wins
- Sporting Kansas City
- 1 draw
- 4 wins
- Real Salt Lake
- Real Salt Lake3-1Sporting Kansas City
- Real Salt Lake2-1Sporting Kansas City
- Sporting Kansas City1-1Real Salt Lake
- Sporting Kansas City3-4Real Salt Lake
- Real Salt Lake1-0Sporting Kansas City
Frequently asked questions
What was the result of Sporting Kansas City – Real Salt Lake?
Final score: Sporting Kansas City 1-3 Real Salt Lake. The model predicted a win for Real Salt Lake (40 %): correct prediction.
Who will win Sporting Kansas City – Real Salt Lake?
Our model gives 2 · Real Salt Lake a 40 % probability. The three outcomes split as follows: Sporting Kansas City win 32 %, draw 29 %, Real Salt Lake win 40 %.