Orlando City SC
D.C. United
Orlando City SC – D.C. United
What the model says
Probabilities computed by model v2-20261001-0205, Oct 16, 07:00 AM.
- Predicted result
- 1Home win
- Confidence
- 55 %
- Most likely score
- 2-110 % chance
- Expected goals (xG)
- 2.15 – 1.27
- Over 2.5 goals
The short version
Final score: Orlando City SC 4-1 D.C. United. The model predicted a win for Orlando City SC (55 %): correct prediction. The most likely score among those producing that result is 2-1. It expects 2.15 goals for Orlando City SC and 1.27 for D.C. United. Bookmakers say the same thing: 56 % on the same outcome. Over their last five matches, Orlando City SC took 7 points and D.C. United 5 points. In recent meetings: 3 wins for Orlando City SC, 1 draw, 1 win for D.C. United. Over 2.5 goals: 66 %. Both teams to score: 64 %.
What the market says
Average of one bookmaker, margin removed.
| Predicted result | Odds | Implied probability | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1Orlando City SC | 1.64 | 56 % | -10.3 % |
| XDraw | 4.30 | 21 % | -0.2 % |
| 2D.C. United | 4.10 | 22 % | -9.3 % |
Model probability × odds − 1. Positive: the model gives this outcome a better chance than the odds do. A gap is not betting advice.
Form and statistics
Orlando City SC
- Last 5 matches
- At home
D.C. United
- Last 5 matches
Head-to-head
- 3 wins
- Orlando City SC
- 1 draw
- 1 win
- D.C. United
- D.C. United3-2Orlando City SC
- D.C. United1-1Orlando City SC
- Orlando City SC4-1D.C. United
- Orlando City SC5-0D.C. United
- D.C. United2-3Orlando City SC
Frequently asked questions
What was the result of Orlando City SC – D.C. United?
Final score: Orlando City SC 4-1 D.C. United. The model predicted a win for Orlando City SC (55 %): correct prediction.
Who will win Orlando City SC – D.C. United?
Our model gives 1 · Orlando City SC a 55 % probability. The three outcomes split as follows: Orlando City SC win 55 %, draw 23 %, D.C. United win 22 %.