New England Revolution
Chicago Fire FC
New England Revolution – Chicago Fire FC
What the model says
Probabilities computed by model v2-20261001-0205, Oct 16, 07:00 AM.
- Predicted result
- 1Home win
- Confidence
- 37 %
- Most likely score
- 2-18 % chance
- Expected goals (xG)
- 1.53 – 1.54
- Over 2.5 goals
The short version
Final score: New England Revolution 1-0 Chicago Fire FC. The model predicted a win for New England Revolution (37 %): correct prediction. The most likely score among those producing that result is 2-1. It expects 1.53 goals for New England Revolution and 1.54 for Chicago Fire FC. Bookmakers say the same thing: 40 % on the same outcome. Over their last five matches, New England Revolution took 9 points and Chicago Fire FC 9 points. In recent meetings: 2 wins for New England Revolution, 2 draws, 1 win for Chicago Fire FC. Over 2.5 goals: 59 %. Both teams to score: 62 %.
What the market says
Average of one bookmaker, margin removed.
| Predicted result | Odds | Implied probability | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1New England Revolution | 2.30 | 40 % | -15.7 % |
| XDraw | 3.65 | 25 % | -0.5 % |
| 2Chicago Fire FC | 2.65 | 35 % | -4.4 % |
Model probability × odds − 1. Positive: the model gives this outcome a better chance than the odds do. A gap is not betting advice.
Form and statistics
New England Revolution
- Last 5 matches
- At home
Chicago Fire FC
- Last 5 matches
Head-to-head
- 2 wins
- New England Revolution
- 2 draws
- 1 win
- Chicago Fire FC
- Chicago Fire FC1-2New England Revolution
- New England Revolution2-2Chicago Fire FC
- Chicago Fire FC3-2New England Revolution
- Chicago Fire FC0-1New England Revolution
- New England Revolution1-1
Frequently asked questions
What was the result of New England Revolution – Chicago Fire FC?
Final score: New England Revolution 1-0 Chicago Fire FC. The model predicted a win for New England Revolution (37 %): correct prediction.