Macarthur FC
Perth Glory
Macarthur FC – Perth Glory
What the model says
Probabilities computed by model v2-20261001-0205, Oct 16, 07:00 PM.
- Predicted result
- 1Home win
- Confidence
- 50 %
- Most likely score
- 2-110 % chance
- Expected goals (xG)
- 1.79 – 1.23
- Over 2.5 goals
The short version
Final score: Macarthur FC 2-1 Perth Glory. The model predicted a win for Macarthur FC (50 %): correct prediction. The most likely score among those producing that result is 2-1. It expects 1.79 goals for Macarthur FC and 1.23 for Perth Glory. Bookmakers say the same thing: 48 % on the same outcome. Over their last five matches, Macarthur FC took 9 points and Perth Glory 9 points. In recent meetings: 2 wins for Macarthur FC, 1 draw, 2 wins for Perth Glory. Over 2.5 goals: 58 %. Both teams to score: 59 %.
What the market says
Average of one bookmaker, margin removed.
| Predicted result | Odds | Implied probability | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1Macarthur FC | 1.95 | 48 % | -3.3 % |
| XDraw | 3.70 | 25 % | -6.7 % |
| 2Perth Glory | 3.60 | 26 % | -9.3 % |
Model probability × odds − 1. Positive: the model gives this outcome a better chance than the odds do. A gap is not betting advice.
Form and statistics
Macarthur FC
- Last 5 matches
- At home
Perth Glory
- Last 5 matches
Head-to-head
- 2 wins
- Macarthur FC
- 1 draw
- 2 wins
- Perth Glory
- Perth Glory3-1Macarthur FC
- Macarthur FC2-2Perth Glory
- Macarthur FC0-2Perth Glory
- Perth Glory0-3Macarthur FC
- Macarthur FC6-1Perth Glory
Frequently asked questions
What was the result of Macarthur FC – Perth Glory?
Final score: Macarthur FC 2-1 Perth Glory. The model predicted a win for Macarthur FC (50 %): correct prediction.
Who will win Macarthur FC – Perth Glory?
Our model gives 1 · Macarthur FC a 50 % probability. The three outcomes split as follows: Macarthur FC win 50 %, draw 25 %, Perth Glory win 25 %.