Sydney FC
Western Sydney Wanderers
Sydney FC – Western Sydney Wanderers
What the model says
Probabilities computed by model v2-20261001-0205, Oct 14, 07:00 PM.
- Predicted result
- 1Home win
- Confidence
- 54 %
- Most likely score
- 2-110 % chance
- Expected goals (xG)
- 1.80 – 1.15
- Over 2.5 goals
- 56 %
- Both teams to score
- 57 %
The score shown is the most likely one among those matching the predicted result, not the rounded xG: with 1.83 – 1.24 expected goals and a home win predicted, that is 1-0. 1-1, the single most frequent score overall, only appears when a draw is predicted.
The short version
The model leans towards Sydney FC at home (54 %). The most likely score among those producing that result is 2-1. It expects 1.80 goals for Sydney FC and 1.15 for Western Sydney Wanderers. Bookmakers disagree: they give that outcome 43 %. Over their last five matches, Sydney FC took 6 points and Western Sydney Wanderers no points. In recent meetings: 3 wins for Sydney FC, 1 draw, 1 win for Western Sydney Wanderers. Over 2.5 goals: 56 %. Both teams to score: 57 %.
What the market says
Average of one bookmaker, margin removed.
| Predicted result | Odds | Implied probability | EdgeModel edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1Sydney FC | 2.15 | 43 % | +15.3 % |
| XDraw | 3.65 | 26 % | -12.4 % |
| 2Western Sydney Wanderers | 3.00 | 31 % | -32.9 % |
Model probability × odds − 1. Positive: the odds pay more than the estimated risk. Only the edge on the predicted outcome counts as a value bet.
Form and statistics
Sydney FC
- Last 5 matches
- At home
Western Sydney Wanderers
- Last 5 matches
Head-to-head
- 3 wins
- Sydney FC
- 1 draw
- 1 win
- Western Sydney Wanderers
- Western Sydney Wanderers0-2Sydney FC
- Sydney FC4-1Western Sydney Wanderers
- Western Sydney Wanderers1-0Sydney FC
- Sydney FC3-3Western Sydney Wanderers
- Sydney FC4-2Western Sydney Wanderers
Frequently asked questions
Who will win Sydney FC – Western Sydney Wanderers?
Our model gives 1 · Sydney FC a 54 % probability. The three outcomes split as follows: Sydney FC win 54 %, draw 24 %, Western Sydney Wanderers win 22 %.
What is the most likely score for Sydney FC – Western Sydney Wanderers?
The most likely score is 2-1, at 10 %. It is the most frequent score among those that produce the result the model predicts.