SC Freiburg
Jablonec
SC Freiburg – Jablonec
What the model says
Probabilities computed by model v2-20261001-0205, Oct 14, 03:01 AM.
- Predicted result
- 1Home win
- Confidence
- 83 %
- Most likely score
- 2-013 % chance
- Expected goals (xG)
- 2.73 – 0.64
The short version
Final score: SC Freiburg 3-2 Jablonec. The model predicted a win for SC Freiburg (83 %): correct prediction. The most likely score among those producing that result is 2-0. It expects 2.73 goals for SC Freiburg and 0.64 for Jablonec. Bookmakers disagree: they give that outcome 75 %. Over their last five matches, SC Freiburg took 13 points and Jablonec 12 points. Over 2.5 goals: 66 %. Both teams to score: 44 %.
What the market says
Average of one bookmaker, margin removed.
| Predicted result | Odds | Implied probability | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1SC Freiburg | 1.26 | 75 % | +4.3 % |
| XDraw | 6.00 | 16 % | -30.2 % |
| 2Jablonec | 10.50 | 9 % | -41.3 % |
Model probability × odds − 1. Positive: the model gives this outcome a better chance than the odds do. A gap is not betting advice.
Form and statistics
SC Freiburg
- Last 5 matches
- At home
Jablonec
- Last 5 matches
Head-to-head
No recent meeting between these two teams.
Frequently asked questions
What was the result of SC Freiburg – Jablonec?
Final score: SC Freiburg 3-2 Jablonec. The model predicted a win for SC Freiburg (83 %): correct prediction.
Who will win SC Freiburg – Jablonec?
Our model gives 1 · SC Freiburg a 83 % probability. The three outcomes split as follows: SC Freiburg win 83 %, draw 12 %, Jablonec win 6 %.