Heart of Midlothian
FC Nordsjælland
Heart of Midlothian – FC Nordsjælland
What the model says
Probabilities computed by model v2-20261001-0205, Oct 14, 03:01 AM.
- Predicted result
- 1Home win
- Confidence
- 49 %
- Most likely score
- 2-19 % chance
- Expected goals (xG)
- 1.63 – 1.24
The short version
Final score: Heart of Midlothian 1-1 FC Nordsjælland. The model predicted a win for Heart of Midlothian (49 %): missed prediction. The most likely score among those producing that result is 2-1. It expects 1.63 goals for Heart of Midlothian and 1.24 for FC Nordsjælland. Bookmakers disagree: they give that outcome 32 %. Over their last five matches, Heart of Midlothian took 10 points and FC Nordsjælland 5 points. Over 2.5 goals: 55 %. Both teams to score: 57 %.
What the market says
Average of one bookmaker, margin removed.
| Predicted result | Odds | Implied probability | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1Heart of Midlothian | 2.95 | 32 % | +43.5 % |
| XDraw | 3.80 | 25 % | -12.7 % |
| 2FC Nordsjælland | 2.25 | 42 % | -36.2 % |
Model probability × odds − 1. Positive: the model gives this outcome a better chance than the odds do. A gap is not betting advice.
Form and statistics
Heart of Midlothian
- Last 5 matches
- At home
FC Nordsjælland
- Last 5 matches
Head-to-head
No recent meeting between these two teams.
Frequently asked questions
What was the result of Heart of Midlothian – FC Nordsjælland?
Final score: Heart of Midlothian 1-1 FC Nordsjælland. The model predicted a win for Heart of Midlothian (49 %): missed prediction.