FC Twente
FC Thun
FC Twente – FC Thun
What the model says
Probabilities computed by model v2-20261001-0205, Oct 14, 03:01 AM.
- Predicted result
- 1Home win
- Confidence
- 82 %
- Most likely score
- 3-010 % chance
- Expected goals (xG)
- 3.11 – 0.82
- Over 2.5 goals
The short version
Final score: FC Twente 1-0 FC Thun. The model predicted a win for FC Twente (82 %): correct prediction. The most likely score among those producing that result is 3-0. It expects 3.11 goals for FC Twente and 0.82 for FC Thun. Bookmakers say the same thing: 78 % on the same outcome. Over their last five matches, FC Twente took 11 points and FC Thun 4 points. Over 2.5 goals: 75 %. Both teams to score: 54 %.
What the market says
Average of one bookmaker, margin removed.
| Predicted result | Odds | Implied probability | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1FC Twente | 1.22 | 78 % | +0.1 % |
| XDraw | 7.00 | 14 % | -27.4 % |
| 2FC Thun | 11.00 | 9 % | -16.8 % |
Model probability × odds − 1. Positive: the model gives this outcome a better chance than the odds do. A gap is not betting advice.
Form and statistics
FC Twente
- Last 5 matches
- At home
FC Thun
- Last 5 matches
Head-to-head
No recent meeting between these two teams.
Frequently asked questions
What was the result of FC Twente – FC Thun?
Final score: FC Twente 1-0 FC Thun. The model predicted a win for FC Twente (82 %): correct prediction.
Who will win FC Twente – FC Thun?
Our model gives 1 · FC Twente a 82 % probability. The three outcomes split as follows: FC Twente win 82 %, draw 10 %, FC Thun win 8 %.