F.C. København
Braga
F.C. København – Braga
What the model says
Probabilities computed by model v2-20261001-0205, Oct 14, 03:01 AM.
- Predicted result
- 1Home win
- Confidence
- 61 %
- Most likely score
- 2-010 % chance
- Expected goals (xG)
- 2.05 – 0.96
- Over 2.5 goals
- 58 %
- Both teams to score
- 54 %
The score shown is the most likely one among those matching the predicted result, not the rounded xG: with 1.83 – 1.24 expected goals and a home win predicted, that is 1-0. 1-1, the single most frequent score overall, only appears when a draw is predicted.
The short version
The model leans towards F.C. København at home (61 %). The most likely score among those producing that result is 2-0. It expects 2.05 goals for F.C. København and 0.96 for Braga. Bookmakers disagree: they give that outcome 38 %. This is the card's value bet: at odds of 2.55, the predicted outcome carries +56.5 % of expected return by the model's reckoning. Over their last five matches, F.C. København took 12 points and Braga 7 points. Over 2.5 goals: 58 %. Both teams to score: 54 %.
What the market says
Average of one bookmaker, margin removed.
| Predicted result | Odds | Implied probability | EdgeModel edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1F.C. København | 2.55 | 38 % | +56.5 % |
| XDraw | 3.25 | 29 % | -29.5 % |
| 2Braga | 2.90 |
Form and statistics
F.C. København
- Last 5 matches
- At home
Braga
- Last 5 matches
Head-to-head
No recent meeting between these two teams.
Frequently asked questions
Who will win F.C. København – Braga?
Our model gives 1 · F.C. København a 61 % probability. The three outcomes split as follows: F.C. København win 61 %, draw 22 %, Braga win 17 %.
What is the most likely score for F.C. København – Braga?
The most likely score is 2-0, at 10 %. It is the most frequent score among those that produce the result the model predicts.