Riga FC
Kairat Almaty
Riga FC – Kairat Almaty
What the model says
Probabilities computed by model v2-20261001-0205, Oct 14, 03:01 AM.
- Predicted result
- 1Home win
- Confidence
- 44 %
- Most likely score
- 1-012 % chance
- Expected goals (xG)
- 1.32 – 1.02
The short version
Final score: Riga FC 1-1 Kairat Almaty. The model predicted a win for Riga FC (44 %): missed prediction. The most likely score among those producing that result is 1-0. It expects 1.32 goals for Riga FC and 1.02 for Kairat Almaty. Bookmakers disagree: they give that outcome 50 %. Over their last five matches, Riga FC took 11 points and Kairat Almaty 3 points. Over 2.5 goals: 41 %. Both teams to score: 47 %.
What the market says
Average of one bookmaker, margin removed.
| Predicted result | Odds | Implied probability | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1Riga FC | 1.90 | 50 % | -17.0 % |
| XDraw | 3.55 | 27 % | +4.9 % |
| 2Kairat Almaty | 4.10 | 23 % | +9.6 % |
Model probability × odds − 1. Positive: the model gives this outcome a better chance than the odds do. A gap is not betting advice.
Form and statistics
Riga FC
- Last 5 matches
- At home
Kairat Almaty
- Last 5 matches
Head-to-head
No recent meeting between these two teams.
Frequently asked questions
What was the result of Riga FC – Kairat Almaty?
Final score: Riga FC 1-1 Kairat Almaty. The model predicted a win for Riga FC (44 %): missed prediction.
Who will win Riga FC – Kairat Almaty?
Our model gives 1 · Riga FC a 44 % probability. The three outcomes split as follows: Riga FC win 44 %, draw 30 %, Kairat Almaty win 27 %.