Hajduk Split
Ajax Amsterdam
Hajduk Split – Ajax Amsterdam
What the model says
Probabilities computed by model v2-20261001-0205, Oct 14, 03:01 AM.
- Predicted result
- 2Away win
- Confidence
- 68 %
- Most likely score
- 0-210 % chance
- Expected goals (xG)
- 0.94 – 2.71
The short version
Final score: Hajduk Split 2-1 Ajax Amsterdam. The model predicted a win for Ajax Amsterdam (68 %): missed prediction. The most likely score among those producing that result is 0-2. It expects 0.94 goals for Hajduk Split and 2.71 for Ajax Amsterdam. Bookmakers disagree: they give that outcome 59 %. Over their last five matches, Hajduk Split took 10 points and Ajax Amsterdam 8 points. Over 2.5 goals: 71 %. Both teams to score: 57 %.
What the market says
Average of one bookmaker, margin removed.
| Predicted result | Odds | Implied probability | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1Hajduk Split | 4.90 | 19 % | -34.6 % |
| XDraw | 4.40 | 22 % | -19.7 % |
| 2Ajax Amsterdam | 1.62 | 59 % | +10.8 % |
Model probability × odds − 1. Positive: the model gives this outcome a better chance than the odds do. A gap is not betting advice.
Form and statistics
Hajduk Split
- Last 5 matches
- At home
Ajax Amsterdam
- Last 5 matches
Head-to-head
No recent meeting between these two teams.
Frequently asked questions
What was the result of Hajduk Split – Ajax Amsterdam?
Final score: Hajduk Split 2-1 Ajax Amsterdam. The model predicted a win for Ajax Amsterdam (68 %): missed prediction.
Who will win Hajduk Split – Ajax Amsterdam?
Our model gives 2 · Ajax Amsterdam a 68 % probability. The three outcomes split as follows: Hajduk Split win 13 %, draw 18 %, Ajax Amsterdam win 68 %.