FC Dallas
Seattle Sounders FC
FC Dallas – Seattle Sounders FC
What the model says
Probabilities computed by model v2-20261001-0205, Oct 13, 07:00 AM.
- Predicted result
- 1Home win
- Confidence
- 39 %
- Most likely score
- 2-19 % chance
- Expected goals (xG)
- 1.69 – 1.51
- Over 2.5 goals
- 62 %
- Both teams to score
- 64 %
The score shown is the most likely one among those matching the predicted result, not the rounded xG: with 1.83 – 1.24 expected goals and a home win predicted, that is 1-0. 1-1, the single most frequent score overall, only appears when a draw is predicted.
The short version
The model leans towards FC Dallas at home (39 %). The most likely score among those producing that result is 2-1. It expects 1.69 goals for FC Dallas and 1.51 for Seattle Sounders FC. Bookmakers disagree: they give that outcome 46 %. Over their last five matches, FC Dallas took 10 points and Seattle Sounders FC 13 points. In recent meetings: 0 wins for FC Dallas, 1 draw, 4 wins for Seattle Sounders FC. Over 2.5 goals: 62 %. Both teams to score: 64 %.
What the market says
Average of one bookmaker, margin removed.
| Predicted result | Odds | Implied probability | EdgeModel edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1FC Dallas | 2.00 | 46 % | -21.7 % |
| XDraw | 3.75 | 25 % | +3.0 % |
| 2Seattle Sounders FC | 3.15 | 29 % | +5.1 % |
Model probability × odds − 1. Positive: the odds pay more than the estimated risk. Only the edge on the predicted outcome counts as a value bet.
Form and statistics
FC Dallas
- Last 5 matches
- At home
Seattle Sounders FC
- Last 5 matches
Head-to-head
- 0 wins
- FC Dallas
- 1 draw
- 4 wins
- Seattle Sounders FC
- Seattle Sounders FC2-1FC Dallas
- Seattle Sounders FC1-0FC Dallas
- FC Dallas0-1Seattle Sounders FC
- Seattle Sounders FC3-2FC Dallas
- FC Dallas0-0Seattle Sounders FC
Frequently asked questions
Who will win FC Dallas – Seattle Sounders FC?
Our model gives 1 · FC Dallas a 39 % probability. The three outcomes split as follows: FC Dallas win 39 %, draw 27 %, Seattle Sounders FC win 33 %.
What is the most likely score for FC Dallas – Seattle Sounders FC?
The most likely score is 2-1, at 9 %. It is the most frequent score among those that produce the result the model predicts.