Colorado Rapids
San Jose Earthquakes
Colorado Rapids – San Jose Earthquakes
What the model says
Probabilities computed by model v2-20261001-0205, Oct 9, 07:00 AM.
- Predicted result
- 1Home win
- Confidence
- 39 %
- Most likely score
- 2-19 % chance
- Expected goals (xG)
- 1.55 – 1.40
The short version
Final score: Colorado Rapids 1-1 San Jose Earthquakes. The model predicted a win for Colorado Rapids (39 %): missed prediction. The most likely score among those producing that result is 2-1. It expects 1.55 goals for Colorado Rapids and 1.40 for San Jose Earthquakes. Bookmakers disagree: they give that outcome 49 %. Over their last five matches, Colorado Rapids took 5 points and San Jose Earthquakes 11 points. In recent meetings: 2 wins for Colorado Rapids, 0 draws, 2 wins for San Jose Earthquakes. Over 2.5 goals: 57 %. Both teams to score: 60 %.
What the market says
Average of one bookmaker, margin removed.
| Predicted result | Odds | Implied probability | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1Colorado Rapids | 1.86 | 49 % | -26.6 % |
| XDraw | 3.70 | 25 % | -0.5 % |
| 2San Jose Earthquakes | 3.55 | 26 % | +19.4 % |
Model probability × odds − 1. Positive: the model gives this outcome a better chance than the odds do. A gap is not betting advice.
Form and statistics
Colorado Rapids
- Last 5 matches
- At home
San Jose Earthquakes
- Last 5 matches
Head-to-head
- 2 wins
- Colorado Rapids
- 0 draws
- 2 wins
- San Jose Earthquakes
- Colorado Rapids0-2San Jose Earthquakes
- San Jose Earthquakes1-2Colorado Rapids
- Colorado Rapids2-3San Jose Earthquakes
- San Jose Earthquakes0-3Colorado Rapids
Frequently asked questions
What was the result of Colorado Rapids – San Jose Earthquakes?
Final score: Colorado Rapids 1-1 San Jose Earthquakes. The model predicted a win for Colorado Rapids (39 %): missed prediction.