Sporting Kansas City
Portland Timbers
Sporting Kansas City – Portland Timbers
What the model says
Probabilities computed by model v2-20261001-0205, Oct 9, 07:00 AM.
- Predicted result
- 2Away win
- Confidence
- 42 %
- Most likely score
- 1-29 % chance
- Expected goals (xG)
- 1.40 – 1.68
- Over 2.5 goals
The short version
Final score: Sporting Kansas City 3-3 Portland Timbers. The model predicted a win for Portland Timbers (42 %): missed prediction. The most likely score among those producing that result is 1-2. It expects 1.40 goals for Sporting Kansas City and 1.68 for Portland Timbers. Bookmakers disagree: they give that outcome 36 %. Over their last five matches, Sporting Kansas City took 6 points and Portland Timbers 4 points. In recent meetings: 0 wins for Sporting Kansas City, 1 draw, 4 wins for Portland Timbers. Over 2.5 goals: 59 %. Both teams to score: 62 %.
What the market says
Average of one bookmaker, margin removed.
| Predicted result | Odds | Implied probability | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1Sporting Kansas City | 2.30 | 40 % | -25.8 % |
| XDraw | 3.95 | 23 % | +2.1 % |
| 2Portland Timbers | 2.55 | 36 % | +6.8 % |
Model probability × odds − 1. Positive: the model gives this outcome a better chance than the odds do. A gap is not betting advice.
Form and statistics
Sporting Kansas City
- Last 5 matches
- At home
Portland Timbers
- Last 5 matches
Head-to-head
- 0 wins
- Sporting Kansas City
- 1 draw
- 4 wins
- Portland Timbers
- Portland Timbers6-0Sporting Kansas City
- Portland Timbers1-0Sporting Kansas City
- Sporting Kansas City2-4Portland Timbers
- Portland Timbers2-1Sporting Kansas City
- Sporting Kansas City3-3Portland Timbers
Frequently asked questions
What was the result of Sporting Kansas City – Portland Timbers?
Final score: Sporting Kansas City 3-3 Portland Timbers. The model predicted a win for Portland Timbers (42 %): missed prediction.