Austin FC
Nashville SC
Austin FC – Nashville SC
What the model says
Probabilities computed by model v2-20261001-0205, Oct 9, 07:00 AM.
- Predicted result
- 2Away win
- Confidence
- 56 %
- Most likely score
- 1-210 % chance
- Expected goals (xG)
- 1.05 – 1.86
- Over 2.5 goals
The short version
Final score: Austin FC 1-4 Nashville SC. The model predicted a win for Nashville SC (56 %): correct prediction. The most likely score among those producing that result is 1-2. It expects 1.05 goals for Austin FC and 1.86 for Nashville SC. Bookmakers disagree: they give that outcome 49 %. Over their last five matches, Austin FC took 7 points and Nashville SC 8 points. In recent meetings: 1 win for Austin FC, 0 draws, 0 wins for Nashville SC. Over 2.5 goals: 56 %. Both teams to score: 55 %.
What the market says
Average of one bookmaker, margin removed.
| Predicted result | Odds | Implied probability | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1Austin FC | 3.60 | 26 % | -31.7 % |
| XDraw | 3.60 | 26 % | -9.9 % |
| 2Nashville SC | 1.90 | 49 % | +6.4 % |
Model probability × odds − 1. Positive: the model gives this outcome a better chance than the odds do. A gap is not betting advice.
Form and statistics
Austin FC
- Last 5 matches
- At home
Nashville SC
- Last 5 matches
Head-to-head
- 1 win
- Austin FC
- 0 draws
- 0 wins
- Nashville SC
- Nashville SC0-2Austin FC
Frequently asked questions
What was the result of Austin FC – Nashville SC?
Final score: Austin FC 1-4 Nashville SC. The model predicted a win for Nashville SC (56 %): correct prediction.
Who will win Austin FC – Nashville SC?
Our model gives 2 · Nashville SC a 56 % probability. The three outcomes split as follows: Austin FC win 19 %, draw 25 %, Nashville SC win 56 %.