Red Bull New York
San Diego FC
Red Bull New York – San Diego FC
What the model says
Probabilities computed by model v2-20261001-0205, Oct 9, 07:00 AM.
- Predicted result
- 2Away win
- Confidence
- 37 %
- Most likely score
- 1-29 % chance
- Expected goals (xG)
- 1.39 – 1.46
- Over 2.5 goals
The short version
Final score: Red Bull New York 4-1 San Diego FC. The model predicted a win for San Diego FC (37 %): missed prediction. The most likely score among those producing that result is 1-2. It expects 1.39 goals for Red Bull New York and 1.46 for San Diego FC. Bookmakers say the same thing: 39 % on the same outcome. Over their last five matches, Red Bull New York took 7 points and San Diego FC 2 points. Over 2.5 goals: 54 %. Both teams to score: 58 %.
What the market says
Average of one bookmaker, margin removed.
| Predicted result | Odds | Implied probability | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1Red Bull New York | 2.55 | 36 % | -10.0 % |
| XDraw | 3.75 | 25 % | +2.7 % |
| 2San Diego FC | 2.40 | 39 % | -10.4 % |
Model probability × odds − 1. Positive: the model gives this outcome a better chance than the odds do. A gap is not betting advice.
Form and statistics
Red Bull New York
- Last 5 matches
- At home
San Diego FC
- Last 5 matches
Head-to-head
No recent meeting between these two teams.
Frequently asked questions
What was the result of Red Bull New York – San Diego FC?
Final score: Red Bull New York 4-1 San Diego FC. The model predicted a win for San Diego FC (37 %): missed prediction.
Who will win Red Bull New York – San Diego FC?
Our model gives 2 · San Diego FC a 37 % probability. The three outcomes split as follows: Red Bull New York win 35 %, draw 27 %, San Diego FC win 37 %.