Orlando City SC
Columbus Crew
Orlando City SC – Columbus Crew
What the model says
Probabilities computed by model v2-20261001-0205, Oct 9, 07:00 AM.
- Predicted result
- 1Home win
- Confidence
- 39 %
- Most likely score
- 2-19 % chance
- Expected goals (xG)
- 1.70 – 1.48
- Over 2.5 goals
The short version
Final score: Orlando City SC 3-2 Columbus Crew. The model predicted a win for Orlando City SC (39 %): correct prediction. The most likely score among those producing that result is 2-1. It expects 1.70 goals for Orlando City SC and 1.48 for Columbus Crew. Bookmakers disagree: they give that outcome 48 %. Over their last five matches, Orlando City SC took 9 points and Columbus Crew 9 points. In recent meetings: 1 win for Orlando City SC, 2 draws, 2 wins for Columbus Crew. Over 2.5 goals: 62 %. Both teams to score: 64 %.
What the market says
Average of one bookmaker, margin removed.
| Predicted result | Odds | Implied probability | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1Orlando City SC | 1.95 | 48 % | -23.4 % |
| XDraw | 3.95 | 23 % | +6.3 % |
| 2Columbus Crew | 3.20 | 29 % | +8.2 % |
Model probability × odds − 1. Positive: the model gives this outcome a better chance than the odds do. A gap is not betting advice.
Form and statistics
Orlando City SC
- Last 5 matches
- At home
Columbus Crew
- Last 5 matches
Head-to-head
- 1 win
- Orlando City SC
- 2 draws
- 2 wins
- Columbus Crew
- Columbus Crew1-1Orlando City SC
- Orlando City SC1-1Columbus Crew
- Columbus Crew1-3Orlando City SC
- Columbus Crew4-3Orlando City SC
- Orlando City SC0-2Columbus Crew
Frequently asked questions
What was the result of Orlando City SC – Columbus Crew?
Final score: Orlando City SC 3-2 Columbus Crew. The model predicted a win for Orlando City SC (39 %): correct prediction.
Who will win Orlando City SC – Columbus Crew?
Our model gives 1 · Orlando City SC a 39 % probability. The three outcomes split as follows: Orlando City SC win 39 %, draw 27 %, Columbus Crew win 34 %.