Inter Miami CF
D.C. United
Inter Miami CF – D.C. United
What the model says
Probabilities computed by model v2-20261001-0205, Oct 9, 07:00 AM.
- Predicted result
- 1Home win
- Confidence
- 69 %
- Most likely score
- 2-19 % chance
- Expected goals (xG)
- 2.49 – 1.11
- Over 2.5 goals
- 70 %
- Both teams to score
- 62 %
The score shown is the most likely one among those matching the predicted result, not the rounded xG: with 1.83 – 1.24 expected goals and a home win predicted, that is 1-0. 1-1, the single most frequent score overall, only appears when a draw is predicted.
The short version
The model leans towards Inter Miami CF at home (69 %). The most likely score among those producing that result is 2-1. It expects 2.49 goals for Inter Miami CF and 1.11 for D.C. United. Bookmakers say the same thing: 67 % on the same outcome. Over their last five matches, Inter Miami CF took 4 points and D.C. United 6 points. In recent meetings: 4 wins for Inter Miami CF, 1 draw, 0 wins for D.C. United. Over 2.5 goals: 70 %. Both teams to score: 62 %.
What the market says
Average of one bookmaker, margin removed.
| Predicted result | Odds | Implied probability | EdgeModel edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1Inter Miami CF | 1.37 | 67 % | -5.7 % |
| XDraw | 5.25 | 18 % | -6.1 % |
| 2D.C. United | 6.00 | 15 % | -20.5 % |
Model probability × odds − 1. Positive: the odds pay more than the estimated risk. Only the edge on the predicted outcome counts as a value bet.
Form and statistics
Inter Miami CF
- Last 5 matches
- At home
D.C. United
- Last 5 matches
Head-to-head
- 4 wins
- Inter Miami CF
- 1 draw
- 0 wins
- D.C. United
- D.C. United1-2Inter Miami CF
- Inter Miami CF3-2D.C. United
- D.C. United1-1Inter Miami CF
- Inter Miami CF1-0D.C. United
- D.C. United1-3Inter Miami CF
Frequently asked questions
Who will win Inter Miami CF – D.C. United?
Our model gives 1 · Inter Miami CF a 69 % probability. The three outcomes split as follows: Inter Miami CF win 69 %, draw 18 %, D.C. United win 13 %.
What is the most likely score for Inter Miami CF – D.C. United?
The most likely score is 2-1, at 9 %. It is the most frequent score among those that produce the result the model predicts.