Atlanta United FC
FC Cincinnati
Atlanta United FC – FC Cincinnati
What the model says
Probabilities computed by model v2-20261001-0205, Oct 9, 07:00 AM.
- Predicted result
- 2Away win
- Confidence
- 40 %
- Most likely score
- 1-29 % chance
- Expected goals (xG)
- 1.43 – 1.66
- Over 2.5 goals
The short version
Final score: Atlanta United FC 1-3 FC Cincinnati. The model predicted a win for FC Cincinnati (40 %): correct prediction. The most likely score among those producing that result is 1-2. It expects 1.43 goals for Atlanta United FC and 1.66 for FC Cincinnati. Bookmakers say the same thing: 36 % on the same outcome. Over their last five matches, Atlanta United FC took 6 points and FC Cincinnati 2 points. In recent meetings: 1 win for Atlanta United FC, 1 draw, 3 wins for FC Cincinnati. Over 2.5 goals: 60 %. Both teams to score: 62 %.
What the market says
Average of one bookmaker, margin removed.
| Predicted result | Odds | Implied probability | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1Atlanta United FC | 2.30 | 40 % | -23.6 % |
| XDraw | 3.90 | 24 % | +4.0 % |
| 2FC Cincinnati | 2.60 | 36 % | +4.3 % |
Model probability × odds − 1. Positive: the model gives this outcome a better chance than the odds do. A gap is not betting advice.
Form and statistics
Atlanta United FC
- Last 5 matches
- At home
FC Cincinnati
- Last 5 matches
Head-to-head
- 1 win
- Atlanta United FC
- 1 draw
- 3 wins
- FC Cincinnati
- FC Cincinnati2-0Atlanta United FC
- Atlanta United FC4-2FC Cincinnati
- FC Cincinnati2-2Atlanta United FC
- FC Cincinnati1-0Atlanta United FC
- Atlanta United FC1-2FC Cincinnati
Frequently asked questions
What was the result of Atlanta United FC – FC Cincinnati?
Final score: Atlanta United FC 1-3 FC Cincinnati. The model predicted a win for FC Cincinnati (40 %): correct prediction.
Who will win Atlanta United FC – FC Cincinnati?
Our model gives 2 · FC Cincinnati a 40 % probability. The three outcomes split as follows: Atlanta United FC win 33 %, draw 27 %, FC Cincinnati win 40 %.