Juventude
Operário PR
Juventude – Operário PR
What the model says
Probabilities computed by model v2-20261001-0205, Oct 1, 07:01 AM.
- Predicted result
- 1Home win
- Confidence
- 50 %
- Most likely score
- 1-013 % chance
- Expected goals (xG)
- 1.44 – 0.94
- Over 2.5 goals
- 43 %
- Both teams to score
- 47 %
The score shown is the most likely one among those matching the predicted result, not the rounded xG: with 1.83 – 1.24 expected goals and a home win predicted, that is 1-0. 1-1, the single most frequent score overall, only appears when a draw is predicted.
The short version
The model leans towards Juventude at home (50 %). The most likely score among those producing that result is 1-0. It expects 1.44 goals for Juventude and 0.94 for Operário PR. Bookmakers say the same thing: 51 % on the same outcome. Over their last five matches, Juventude took 7 points and Operário PR 11 points. In recent meetings: 0 wins for Juventude, 0 draws, 1 win for Operário PR. Over 2.5 goals: 43 %. Both teams to score: 47 %.
What the market says
Average of one bookmaker, margin removed.
| Predicted result | Odds | Implied probability | EdgeModel edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1Juventude | 1.83 | 51 % | -8.1 % |
| XDraw | 3.25 | 29 % | -7.0 % |
| 2Operário PR | 4.60 | 20 % | -2.7 % |
Model probability × odds − 1. Positive: the odds pay more than the estimated risk. Only the edge on the predicted outcome counts as a value bet.
Form and statistics
Juventude
- Last 5 matches
- At home
Operário PR
- Last 5 matches
Head-to-head
- 0 wins
- Juventude
- 0 draws
- 1 win
- Operário PR
- Operário PR2-1Juventude
Frequently asked questions
Who will win Juventude – Operário PR?
Our model gives 1 · Juventude a 50 % probability. The three outcomes split as follows: Juventude win 50 %, draw 29 %, Operário PR win 21 %.
What is the most likely score for Juventude – Operário PR?
The most likely score is 1-0, at 13 %. It is the most frequent score among those that produce the result the model predicts.