St. Lucia
Guadeloupe
St. Lucia – Guadeloupe
What the model says
Probabilities computed by model v2-20261001-0205, Oct 1, 07:01 AM.
- Predicted result
- 2Away win
- Confidence
- 58 %
- Most likely score
- 1-29 % chance
- Expected goals (xG)
- 1.40 – 2.20
- Over 2.5 goals
- 70 %
- Both teams to score
- 67 %
The score shown is the most likely one among those matching the predicted result, not the rounded xG: with 1.83 – 1.24 expected goals and a home win predicted, that is 1-0. 1-1, the single most frequent score overall, only appears when a draw is predicted.
The short version
The model leans towards Guadeloupe away from home (58 %). The most likely score among those producing that result is 1-2. It expects 1.40 goals for St. Lucia and 2.20 for Guadeloupe. No odds are available for this match, so there is nothing to compare the model against. Over their last five matches, St. Lucia took 3 points and Guadeloupe 4 points. In recent meetings: 1 win for St. Lucia, 0 draws, 1 win for Guadeloupe. Over 2.5 goals: 70 %. Both teams to score: 67 %.
What the market says
No odds available for this match.
Form and statistics
St. Lucia
- Last 5 matches
- At home
Guadeloupe
- Last 5 matches
Head-to-head
- 1 win
- St. Lucia
- 0 draws
- 1 win
- Guadeloupe
- Guadeloupe2-0St. Lucia
- St. Lucia2-1Guadeloupe
Frequently asked questions
Who will win St. Lucia – Guadeloupe?
Our model gives 2 · Guadeloupe a 58 % probability. The three outcomes split as follows: St. Lucia win 27 %, draw 16 %, Guadeloupe win 58 %.
What is the most likely score for St. Lucia – Guadeloupe?
The most likely score is 1-2, at 9 %. It is the most frequent score among those that produce the result the model predicts.