Congo DR
Uganda
Congo DR – Uganda
What the model says
Probabilities computed by model v2-20260920-1817, Oct 1, 03:06 AM.
- Predicted result
- 1Home win
- Confidence
- 67 %
- Most likely score
- 1-013 % chance
- Expected goals (xG)
- 1.91 – 0.79
- Over 2.5 goals
- 51 %
- Both teams to score
- 47 %
The score shown is the most likely one among those matching the predicted result, not the rounded xG: with 1.83 – 1.24 expected goals and a home win predicted, that is 1-0. 1-1, the single most frequent score overall, only appears when a draw is predicted.
The short version
The model leans towards Congo DR at home (67 %). The most likely score among those producing that result is 1-0. It expects 1.91 goals for Congo DR and 0.79 for Uganda. No odds are available for this match, so there is nothing to compare the model against. Over their last five matches, Congo DR took 9 points and Uganda 5 points. Over 2.5 goals: 51 %. Both teams to score: 47 %.
What the market says
No odds available for this match.
Form and statistics
Congo DR
- Last 5 matches
- At home
Uganda
- Last 5 matches
Head-to-head
No recent meeting between these two teams.
Frequently asked questions
Who will win Congo DR – Uganda?
Our model gives 1 · Congo DR a 67 % probability. The three outcomes split as follows: Congo DR win 67 %, draw 20 %, Uganda win 13 %.
What is the most likely score for Congo DR – Uganda?
The most likely score is 1-0, at 13 %. It is the most frequent score among those that produce the result the model predicts.