Athletic
Sport
Athletic – Sport
What the model says
Probabilities computed by model v2-20261001-0205, Oct 1, 07:01 AM.
- Predicted result
- 1Home win
- Confidence
- 45 %
- Most likely score
- 1-012 % chance
- Expected goals (xG)
- 1.39 – 1.04
- Over 2.5 goals
The short version
Final score: Athletic 1-2 Sport. The model predicted a win for Athletic (45 %): missed prediction. The most likely score among those producing that result is 1-0. It expects 1.39 goals for Athletic and 1.04 for Sport. Bookmakers disagree: they give that outcome 36 %. Over their last five matches, Athletic took 8 points and Sport 6 points. In recent meetings: 0 wins for Athletic, 1 draw, 0 wins for Sport. Over 2.5 goals: 44 %. Both teams to score: 49 %.
What the market says
Average of one bookmaker, margin removed.
| Predicted result | Odds | Implied probability | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1Athletic | 2.65 | 36 % | +19.9 % |
| XDraw | 3.15 | 30 % | -11.4 % |
| 2Sport | 2.75 | 34 % | -26.7 % |
Model probability × odds − 1. Positive: the model gives this outcome a better chance than the odds do. A gap is not betting advice.
Form and statistics
Athletic
- Last 5 matches
- At home
Sport
- Last 5 matches
Head-to-head
- 0 wins
- Athletic
- 1 draw
- 0 wins
- Sport
- Sport1-1Athletic
Frequently asked questions
What was the result of Athletic – Sport?
Final score: Athletic 1-2 Sport. The model predicted a win for Athletic (45 %): missed prediction.
Who will win Athletic – Sport?
Our model gives 1 · Athletic a 45 % probability. The three outcomes split as follows: Athletic win 45 %, draw 28 %, Sport win 27 %.