Curaçao
Trinidad and Tobago
Curaçao – Trinidad and Tobago
What the model says
Probabilities computed by model v2-20261001-0205, Oct 1, 07:01 AM.
- Predicted result
- 1Home win
- Confidence
- 72 %
- Most likely score
- 2-19 % chance
- Expected goals (xG)
- 2.58 – 1.10
- Over 2.5 goals
- 71 %
- Both teams to score
- 62 %
The score shown is the most likely one among those matching the predicted result, not the rounded xG: with 1.83 – 1.24 expected goals and a home win predicted, that is 1-0. 1-1, the single most frequent score overall, only appears when a draw is predicted.
The short version
The model leans towards Curaçao at home (72 %). The most likely score among those producing that result is 2-1. It expects 2.58 goals for Curaçao and 1.10 for Trinidad and Tobago. Bookmakers disagree: they give that outcome 57 %. Over their last five matches, Curaçao took 7 points and Trinidad and Tobago 1 point. In recent meetings: 1 win for Curaçao, 2 draws, 1 win for Trinidad and Tobago. Over 2.5 goals: 71 %. Both teams to score: 62 %.
What the market says
Average of one bookmaker, margin removed.
| Predicted result | Odds | Implied probability | EdgeModel edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1Curaçao | 1.58 | 57 % | +14.0 % |
| XDraw | 3.80 | 24 % | -45.2 % |
| 2Trinidad and Tobago | 4.80 | 19 % | -35.5 % |
Model probability × odds − 1. Positive: the odds pay more than the estimated risk. Only the edge on the predicted outcome counts as a value bet.
Form and statistics
Curaçao
- Last 5 matches
- At home
Trinidad and Tobago
- Last 5 matches
Head-to-head
- 1 win
- Curaçao
- 2 draws
- 1 win
- Trinidad and Tobago
- Curaçao1-1Trinidad and Tobago
- Trinidad and Tobago0-0Curaçao
- Curaçao5-3Trinidad and Tobago
- Trinidad and Tobago1-0Curaçao
Frequently asked questions
Who will win Curaçao – Trinidad and Tobago?
Our model gives 1 · Curaçao a 72 % probability. The three outcomes split as follows: Curaçao win 72 %, draw 14 %, Trinidad and Tobago win 13 %.
What is the most likely score for Curaçao – Trinidad and Tobago?
The most likely score is 2-1, at 9 %. It is the most frequent score among those that produce the result the model predicts.