Greece
Netherlands
Greece – Netherlands
What the model says
Probabilities computed by model v2-20260920-1817, Sep 30, 03:06 AM.
- Predicted result
- 2Away win
- Confidence
- 50 %
- Most likely score
- 0-110 % chance
- Expected goals (xG)
- 1.17 – 1.60
- Over 2.5 goals
The short version
Final score: Greece 2-2 Netherlands. The model predicted a win for Netherlands (50 %): missed prediction. The most likely score among those producing that result is 0-1. It expects 1.17 goals for Greece and 1.60 for Netherlands. Bookmakers say the same thing: 46 % on the same outcome. Over their last five matches, Greece took 8 points and Netherlands 11 points. In recent meetings: 0 wins for Greece, 0 draws, 2 wins for Netherlands. Over 2.5 goals: 52 %. Both teams to score: 55 %.
What the market says
Average of one bookmaker, margin removed.
| Predicted result | Odds | Implied probability | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1Greece | 3.35 | 28 % | -4.2 % |
| XDraw | 3.50 | 26 % | -23.4 % |
| 2Netherlands | 2.00 | 46 % | -0.9 % |
Model probability × odds − 1. Positive: the model gives this outcome a better chance than the odds do. A gap is not betting advice.
Form and statistics
Greece
- Last 5 matches
- At home
Netherlands
- Last 5 matches
Head-to-head
- 0 wins
- Greece
- 0 draws
- 2 wins
- Netherlands
- Greece0-1Netherlands
- Netherlands3-0Greece
Frequently asked questions
What was the result of Greece – Netherlands?
Final score: Greece 2-2 Netherlands. The model predicted a win for Netherlands (50 %): missed prediction.
Who will win Greece – Netherlands?
Our model gives 2 · Netherlands a 50 % probability. The three outcomes split as follows: Greece win 29 %, draw 22 %, Netherlands win 50 %.