Germany
Serbia
Germany – Serbia
What the model says
Probabilities computed by model v2-20260920-1817, Sep 30, 03:06 AM.
- Predicted result
- 1Home win
- Confidence
- 77 %
- Most likely score
- 2-012 % chance
- Expected goals (xG)
- 2.47 – 0.78
The short version
Final score: Germany 2-0 Serbia. The model predicted a win for Germany (77 %): correct prediction. The most likely score among those producing that result is 2-0. It expects 2.47 goals for Germany and 0.78 for Serbia. Bookmakers say the same thing: 77 % on the same outcome. Over their last five matches, Germany took 5 points and Serbia 3 points. Over 2.5 goals: 63 %. Both teams to score: 50 %.
What the market says
Average of one bookmaker, margin removed.
| Predicted result | Odds | Implied probability | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1Germany | 1.20 | 77 % | -7.2 % |
| XDraw | 6.00 | 15 % | -14.6 % |
| 2Serbia | 12.00 | 8 % | +1.9 % |
Model probability × odds − 1. Positive: the model gives this outcome a better chance than the odds do. A gap is not betting advice.
Form and statistics
Germany
- Last 5 matches
- At home
Serbia
- Last 5 matches
Head-to-head
No recent meeting between these two teams.
Frequently asked questions
What was the result of Germany – Serbia?
Final score: Germany 2-0 Serbia. The model predicted a win for Germany (77 %): correct prediction.
Who will win Germany – Serbia?
Our model gives 1 · Germany a 77 % probability. The three outcomes split as follows: Germany win 77 %, draw 14 %, Serbia win 8 %.