Stade du 28 Septembre
Guinea
Kenya
Guinea – Kenya
What the model says
Probabilities computed by model v2-20260920-1817, Sep 30, 03:06 AM.
- Predicted result
- 1Home win
- Confidence
- 54 %
- Most likely score
- 1-013 % chance
- Expected goals (xG)
- 1.56 – 0.87
- Over 2.5 goals
- 44 %
- Both teams to score
- 46 %
The score shown is the most likely one among those matching the predicted result, not the rounded xG: with 1.83 – 1.24 expected goals and a home win predicted, that is 1-0. 1-1, the single most frequent score overall, only appears when a draw is predicted.
The short version
The model leans towards Guinea at home (54 %). The most likely score among those producing that result is 1-0. It expects 1.56 goals for Guinea and 0.87 for Kenya. No odds are available for this match, so there is nothing to compare the model against. Over their last five matches, Guinea took 2 points and Kenya 9 points. Over 2.5 goals: 44 %. Both teams to score: 46 %.
What the market says
No odds available for this match.
Form and statistics
Guinea
- Last 5 matches
- At home
Kenya
- Last 5 matches
Head-to-head
No recent meeting between these two teams.
Frequently asked questions
Who will win Guinea – Kenya?
Our model gives 1 · Guinea a 54 % probability. The three outcomes split as follows: Guinea win 54 %, draw 22 %, Kenya win 24 %.
What is the most likely score for Guinea – Kenya?
The most likely score is 1-0, at 13 %. It is the most frequent score among those that produce the result the model predicts.