Lithuania
3-0
Andorra
Lithuania – Andorra
What the model says
Probabilities computed by model v2-20260920-1817, Sep 30, 03:06 AM.
- Predicted result
- 1Home win
- Confidence
- 61 %
- Most likely score
- 1-014 % chance
- Expected goals (xG)
- 1.70 – 0.81
- Over 2.5 goals
The short version
Final score: Lithuania 3-0 Andorra. The model predicted a win for Lithuania (61 %): correct prediction. The most likely score among those producing that result is 1-0. It expects 1.70 goals for Lithuania and 0.81 for Andorra. Bookmakers say the same thing: 57 % on the same outcome. Over their last five matches, Lithuania took 7 points and Andorra 4 points. Over 2.5 goals: 46 %. Both teams to score: 45 %.
What the market says
Average of one bookmaker, margin removed.
| Predicted result | Odds | Implied probability | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1Lithuania | 1.66 | 57 % | +0.6 % |
| XDraw | 3.45 | 27 % | -29.2 % |
| 2Andorra | 6.00 | 16 % | +13.3 % |
Model probability × odds − 1. Positive: the model gives this outcome a better chance than the odds do. A gap is not betting advice.
Form and statistics
Lithuania
- Last 5 matches
- At home
Andorra
- Last 5 matches
Head-to-head
No recent meeting between these two teams.
Frequently asked questions
What was the result of Lithuania – Andorra?
Final score: Lithuania 3-0 Andorra. The model predicted a win for Lithuania (61 %): correct prediction.
Who will win Lithuania – Andorra?
Our model gives 1 · Lithuania a 61 % probability. The three outcomes split as follows: Lithuania win 61 %, draw 21 %, Andorra win 19 %.