Fiji
2-1
New Caledonia
Fiji – New Caledonia
What the model says
Probabilities computed by model v2-20260920-1817, Sep 30, 03:06 AM.
- Predicted result
- 1Home win
- Confidence
- 53 %
- Most likely score
- 1-012 % chance
- Expected goals (xG)
- 1.63 – 0.94
- Over 2.5 goals
The short version
Final score: Fiji 2-1 New Caledonia. The model predicted a win for Fiji (53 %): correct prediction. The most likely score among those producing that result is 1-0. It expects 1.63 goals for Fiji and 0.94 for New Caledonia. Bookmakers say the same thing: 55 % on the same outcome. Over their last five matches, Fiji took 7 points and New Caledonia 6 points. Over 2.5 goals: 47 %. Both teams to score: 49 %.
What the market says
Average of one bookmaker, margin removed.
| Predicted result | Odds | Implied probability | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1Fiji | 1.71 | 55 % | -8.6 % |
| XDraw | 4.20 | 22 % | -11.2 % |
| 2New Caledonia | 4.10 | 23 % | +4.1 % |
Model probability × odds − 1. Positive: the model gives this outcome a better chance than the odds do. A gap is not betting advice.
Form and statistics
Fiji
- Last 5 matches
- At home
New Caledonia
- Last 5 matches
Head-to-head
No recent meeting between these two teams.
Frequently asked questions
What was the result of Fiji – New Caledonia?
Final score: Fiji 2-1 New Caledonia. The model predicted a win for Fiji (53 %): correct prediction.
Who will win Fiji – New Caledonia?
Our model gives 1 · Fiji a 53 % probability. The three outcomes split as follows: Fiji win 53 %, draw 21 %, New Caledonia win 25 %.