Botafogo-SP
2-0
Ponte Preta
Botafogo-SP – Ponte Preta
What the model says
Probabilities computed by model v2-20260920-1817, Sep 29, 07:01 AM.
- Predicted result
- 1Home win
- Confidence
- 67 %
- Most likely score
- 1-013 % chance
- Expected goals (xG)
- 1.95 – 0.72
- Over 2.5 goals
The short version
Final score: Botafogo-SP 2-0 Ponte Preta. The model predicted a win for Botafogo-SP (67 %): correct prediction. The most likely score among those producing that result is 1-0. It expects 1.95 goals for Botafogo-SP and 0.72 for Ponte Preta. Bookmakers disagree: they give that outcome 75 %. Over their last five matches, Botafogo-SP took 1 point and Ponte Preta 3 points. In recent meetings: 1 win for Botafogo-SP, 1 draw, 1 win for Ponte Preta. Over 2.5 goals: 50 %. Both teams to score: 44 %.
What the market says
Average of one bookmaker, margin removed.
| Predicted result | Odds | Implied probability | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1Botafogo-SP | 1.25 | 75 % | -16.7 % |
| XDraw | 5.50 | 17 % | +13.3 % |
| 2Ponte Preta | 12.00 | 8 % | +53.5 % |
Model probability × odds − 1. Positive: the model gives this outcome a better chance than the odds do. A gap is not betting advice.
Form and statistics
Botafogo-SP
- Last 5 matches
- At home
Ponte Preta
- Last 5 matches
Head-to-head
- 1 win
- Botafogo-SP
- 1 draw
- 1 win
- Ponte Preta
- Ponte Preta0-0Botafogo-SP
- Ponte Preta1-0Botafogo-SP
- Botafogo-SP2-0Ponte Preta
Frequently asked questions
What was the result of Botafogo-SP – Ponte Preta?
Final score: Botafogo-SP 2-0 Ponte Preta. The model predicted a win for Botafogo-SP (67 %): correct prediction.
Who will win Botafogo-SP – Ponte Preta?
Our model gives 1 · Botafogo-SP a 67 % probability. The three outcomes split as follows: Botafogo-SP win 67 %, draw 21 %, Ponte Preta win 13 %.