Guatemala
6-0
El Salvador
Guatemala – El Salvador
What the model says
Probabilities computed by model v2-20260920-1817, Sep 28, 07:01 AM.
- Predicted result
- 1Home win
- Confidence
- 46 %
- Most likely score
- 2-19 % chance
- Expected goals (xG)
- 1.67 – 1.21
- Over 2.5 goals
The short version
Final score: Guatemala 6-0 El Salvador. The model predicted a win for Guatemala (46 %): correct prediction. The most likely score among those producing that result is 2-1. It expects 1.67 goals for Guatemala and 1.21 for El Salvador. Bookmakers say the same thing: 47 % on the same outcome. Over their last five matches, Guatemala took no points and El Salvador 8 points. In recent meetings: 2 wins for Guatemala, 1 draw, 1 win for El Salvador. Over 2.5 goals: 55 %. Both teams to score: 57 %.
What the market says
Average of one bookmaker, margin removed.
| Predicted result | Odds | Implied probability | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1Guatemala | 1.95 | 47 % | -9.8 % |
| XDraw | 3.25 | 28 % | -25.9 % |
| 2El Salvador | 3.55 | 26 % | +9.8 % |
Model probability × odds − 1. Positive: the model gives this outcome a better chance than the odds do. A gap is not betting advice.
Form and statistics
Guatemala
- Last 5 matches
- At home
El Salvador
- Last 5 matches
Head-to-head
- 2 wins
- Guatemala
- 1 draw
- 1 win
- El Salvador
- El Salvador0-1Guatemala
- Guatemala0-1El Salvador
- El Salvador1-1Guatemala
- Guatemala2-0El Salvador
Frequently asked questions
What was the result of Guatemala – El Salvador?
Final score: Guatemala 6-0 El Salvador. The model predicted a win for Guatemala (46 %): correct prediction.
Who will win Guatemala – El Salvador?
Our model gives 1 · Guatemala a 46 % probability. The three outcomes split as follows: Guatemala win 46 %, draw 23 %, El Salvador win 31 %.