St. Lucia
5-2
Bermuda
St. Lucia – Bermuda
What the model says
Probabilities computed by model v2-20260920-1817, Sep 28, 07:01 AM.
- Predicted result
- 1Home win
- Confidence
- 45 %
- Most likely score
- 2-19 % chance
- Expected goals (xG)
- 1.76 – 1.50
- Over 2.5 goals
The short version
Final score: St. Lucia 5-2 Bermuda. The model predicted a win for St. Lucia (45 %): correct prediction. The most likely score among those producing that result is 2-1. It expects 1.76 goals for St. Lucia and 1.50 for Bermuda. Bookmakers disagree: they give that outcome 34 %. Over their last five matches, St. Lucia took 3 points and Bermuda 1 point. Over 2.5 goals: 63 %. Both teams to score: 65 %.
What the market says
Average of one bookmaker, margin removed.
| Predicted result | Odds | Implied probability | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1St. Lucia | 2.70 | 34 % | +21.7 % |
| XDraw | 3.50 | 26 % | -31.6 % |
| 2Bermuda | 2.25 | 40 % | -20.5 % |
Model probability × odds − 1. Positive: the model gives this outcome a better chance than the odds do. A gap is not betting advice.
Form and statistics
St. Lucia
- Last 5 matches
- At home
Bermuda
- Last 5 matches
Head-to-head
No recent meeting between these two teams.
Frequently asked questions
What was the result of St. Lucia – Bermuda?
Final score: St. Lucia 5-2 Bermuda. The model predicted a win for St. Lucia (45 %): correct prediction.
Who will win St. Lucia – Bermuda?
Our model gives 1 · St. Lucia a 45 % probability. The three outcomes split as follows: St. Lucia win 45 %, draw 20 %, Bermuda win 35 %.