Jamaica
0-1
Honduras
Jamaica – Honduras
What the model says
Probabilities computed by model v2-20260920-1817, Sep 28, 07:01 AM.
- Predicted result
- 1Home win
- Confidence
- 45 %
- Most likely score
- 2-19 % chance
- Expected goals (xG)
- 1.50 – 1.29
The short version
Final score: Jamaica 0-1 Honduras. The model predicted a win for Jamaica (45 %): missed prediction. The most likely score among those producing that result is 2-1. It expects 1.50 goals for Jamaica and 1.29 for Honduras. Bookmakers say the same thing: 42 % on the same outcome. Over their last five matches, Jamaica took 9 points and Honduras 2 points. In recent meetings: 2 wins for Jamaica, 1 draw, 0 wins for Honduras. Over 2.5 goals: 53 %. Both teams to score: 57 %.
What the market says
Average of one bookmaker, margin removed.
| Predicted result | Odds | Implied probability | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1Jamaica | 2.15 | 42 % | -2.3 % |
| XDraw | 3.30 | 28 % | -28.9 % |
| 2Honduras | 3.00 | 30 % | -0.9 % |
Model probability × odds − 1. Positive: the model gives this outcome a better chance than the odds do. A gap is not betting advice.
Form and statistics
Jamaica
- Last 5 matches
- At home
Honduras
- Last 5 matches
Head-to-head
- 2 wins
- Jamaica
- 1 draw
- 0 wins
- Honduras
- Jamaica0-0Honduras
- Honduras1-2Jamaica
- Jamaica1-0Honduras
Frequently asked questions
What was the result of Jamaica – Honduras?
Final score: Jamaica 0-1 Honduras. The model predicted a win for Jamaica (45 %): missed prediction.
Who will win Jamaica – Honduras?
Our model gives 1 · Jamaica a 45 % probability. The three outcomes split as follows: Jamaica win 45 %, draw 22 %, Honduras win 33 %.